January 17, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Takedown | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tale of Fire | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Power Walker | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Discreet Heat | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King Bili | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Admiral Jimmy | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | High Risk Strategy | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Quizzical Cajun | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Sport | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kong Style | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roddick | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twisted Licorice | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Listen to the Lion | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Goldenlineof | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Country House | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thetrashmanscoming | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bebeau | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mantra | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ownitifyouwantit | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pow | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Galileo’s Affair | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Reagan’s Odyssey | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anabella Queen | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Supercommittee | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dahlonega | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Little Princess | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lapantalones Fance | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Passing Moments | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pop’s Irish Rose | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | C R Perfeck Candy | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tapit’s Princess | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dyna Passer | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Web o’ Gold | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Makealitlemischief | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Net | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rags Pauline | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Blossom | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Arabella Bella | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Go Go Jak | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rethinkme | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blue Whale | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Lizzie | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Wishfully | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ojos Corazon | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | So Fresh | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Magnato Go | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Salsa Rita | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | High End Lady | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Connolly Station | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | In the Loop | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sea Shark | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Yes I Am Free | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joe Di Baggio | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Standup | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grenadier | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Zipaway | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Vehement | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Overleveraged | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nobiz Like Jetbiz | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Slick Star | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Flyin’ Robin | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Yale Deal | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Still the One | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Homeboy | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Junipero Avenue | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Organic Jenny | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Vampa | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Our Pride | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Saint Michael | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Crypto Currency | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Flat Out Flying | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Night Prowler | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Baltic Art (GER) | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sycamore Lane | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Black Sea (FR) | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cometin | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | King of Spades | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Abiding Star | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Daddy | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | End Play | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Independent Worker | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Forever Marta | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bay River | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Get Back Home | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Stormy’s Giant | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Secret O’Life | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Alchemy | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | For Reef’s Sake | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Gaby | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Positive Thinking | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Quick Point | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mississippi Sound | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Anjali | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Good Catch Lexi | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Queen Madeleine | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Judith Can | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Candytap Flower | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.