January 17, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cool Sis | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Top Ten Duchess | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | McIlhenny | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ticketformichelle | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bayou Millie | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Overly Sweet | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Mallory | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sunniva | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mizzen Colony | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Atalanta Belle | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Smittys Eyecandy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sarahcain | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Magical Peapod | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lady’s Tribute | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Curlin’s Prize | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Soco Unbridled | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Hallowed Lassie | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Champagne Diva | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seattle Brew | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starmaline | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Neko | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nana’s Joy | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Belle Force | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Half | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 12 | Soul of Discretion | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Got Gold | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 14 | Elkhorn Poet | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bacoli | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Im a Cowboy Too | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Musical America | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zeke | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Fast Boat | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heaven Is Waiting | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Indium | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yellow Wolf | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Artie’s Rumor | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Belomor | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Freedom Factor | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Owendale | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cornacchia | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frolic More | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gun It | 1.40 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blockbuster | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Felipe | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Awe Emma | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Captain Livi | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Orageuse | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ruffina | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Homefieldadvantage | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Good Business | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Actress On Board | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pretty At War | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Mom | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zee Ro Drop | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cause Libby Knows | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Oh Bette | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blessed Union | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Its a Journey | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dictate Cool | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Mi Mi | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Aife | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Cleopatra | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Cacha Na (CHI) | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zena Rules | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | C Islandsurprise | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seeds of Time | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Lorette | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Miss Mahalia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Temper’s Tale | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Darling Vera | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Sacred Lady | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Twirling Liz | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Le Moine | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Desert Ride | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gizmo | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Street Dazzle | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Up With a Twist | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classical Magic | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sooner Schooner | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Say Mo | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Prado’s Encore | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zamzam | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Honest John | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Horace Charles | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 10 | Custom Chrome | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Mr. Carlos | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Leg John | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Da Van Geaux | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bound West | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Charlie de Hustle | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Smooth Little Man | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Costa Alot | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Last of the Luck | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | My Run’s On | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.