January 17, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Full Fleet | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Crowned Style | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Come On Nancy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Fasten | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Just You Wait | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Pat’s Girl | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | New Lucky Penny | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kilasa | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Promise Tender | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Active Girl | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blakes Happiness | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miss Guretta | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mallory’s Bandit | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Battle Colors | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Getoffmyback | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | United Patriot | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bagpipes | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Agent McGee | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quality Production | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Madiba | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pursuit of a Dream | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Inspire Courage | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Frontier Tracy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Blowin Your Mind | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scarlet’s Causeway | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | My Madelyns On | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prayforme | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Diamond for Crider | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Queen Bindala | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Racin Prayer | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Azuralee | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | We Can Dream | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chaosmos | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pacific Song | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bobby Jack | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flirtation Device | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cat’s Shining Star | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Toast to Michael | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brown’s Monkey | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oath of Office | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Our Rapidash | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Big Red Cat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Heartland Hit | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cale’s Gold | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thats It Imleaving | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Ron | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sparky Sparkles | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | At Bat | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jade Star | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Say Charlie | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | It’s All Up to You | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | River Pride | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kid Correa | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zipzaptime | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Delta Eighty Eight | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Roaring Star Fire | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Old Pep N Step | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tristan’s Dream | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Debriyn | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Supersonicsong | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kool Yankee | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Silver Siren | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Prime Patriot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Dreaming Diamonds | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mysterious Kingdom | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Customs in Dixie | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Fortune Got Even | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | D’freak Nasty | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 11 | Smokin’ Truth | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Resilience of Love | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whatdatpay Ray | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wild Bert | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Want a Picture | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love to Singh | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fire Blaster | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Farewell Time | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Risky Steps | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hawaiian Appeal | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Classic Greeley | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Count N Gold | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cook | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Q’ Mark | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miracle Master | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Players Gonna Play | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gridiron Cat | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Expectations | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cool Production | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Man of Bethel | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Velvet Vision | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Agirlnamedsyd | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Star Countess | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Yankee’s Fanny | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Syrup Cake | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Zarb’s Winnie | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cool Kitty | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Glory Be True | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Racy | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Angel Cat | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.