January 12, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Runabout 1.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Chinquapin 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Third Son 12.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Disco Express 1.40 4.2 8-1
7 7 Lay It On 30.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Offshore Trip 30.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Swingstage 30.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sophie N 5.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Gateau St Honore 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Vinaigrette 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Kitten’s Friend 10.00 3.8 7-1
9 8 Justanarch 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Malabar 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Hayley Agnes 20.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Merry Maid 30.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Dangerus Talent 30.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – What A Summer S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Limited View 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 She’s Stunning 6.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Late Night Pow Wow 0.80 2.1 4-1
6 4 Behrnik’s Bank 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 2 Devine Mischief 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 3 Moonlit Song 5.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Gran Cherry 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Robin’s Destiny 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Majestic Won 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Barley Jack 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Margie’s Money 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Souper Echo 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Phantom Shot 12.00 5.3 10-1
9 7 Clairvoyant Lady 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Off My Stage 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Native Dancer S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Stan the Man 2.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Rich Daddy 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Bonus Points 2.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 General Downs 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Tour de Force 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Saratoga Jack 12.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Marengo Road 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Just Call Kenny 15.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Handicap)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tradfest 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 White Bluff 10.00 SCRATCH
10 8 Chief of Staff 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 2 Mandel 2.50 3.3 6-1
9 7 Big Bella Brown 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Tricky Lion 5.00 4.5 8-1
2 1 Sir Orinoco 10.00 4.7 9-1
8 6 Brimstone 15.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 Dr Bolt 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 4 R Hot Twenty’s 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Fire Plug S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Do Share 2.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Cautious Giant 2.00 2 4-1
6 5 Sheikh of Sheikhs 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 3 Measured 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Home Run Maker 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Shane’s Jewel 8.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Nellie Morse S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Blue Union Rags 8.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Face It 1.40 2.8 5-1
3 2 Enthrall 10.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Timeless Curls 1.60 3.6 7-1
2 1 Mzima Springs 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Mo Knows 12.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kosher Kontract 5.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 New Stones 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Honor Run 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Baravelli 5.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Lucacito 4.50 5.1 10-1
9 9 Kustaafu 10.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Perfect Heir 6.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Row the Boat 12.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 The Glominator 20.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Disputed Notion 30.00 8.4 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.