January 12, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kubo Cat | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yakadaddy | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take Charge Chase | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Step to the Bar | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | He’s No Bully | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charlie Gulch | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Don Guillermo | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Andy Jones | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Delusional K K | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tensas Thought | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Acadian Driftwood | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shakopee Town | 1.20 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Champagne Moment | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jo Jo’s Wine | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 13 | Turner Time | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Sea Vow | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | The Bull (AUS) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | No Richie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 14 | Jackie Blu | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 6 | Riv | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Irish Proud | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Anytime Anyplace | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Just Blaze | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bar Ryder | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | T’ Cadeau | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | What a Image | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | He’s Dann Good | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Showcase Mall | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Half Waypoint | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Peace Treaty Pat | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elegant Elle | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Glorieta | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lookin Back At It | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Aunt Bae Bae | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Darby | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | El Corredor Rose | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cajun Music | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Wilderness Gate | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Watch Out Justin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Raven’s Rabbit (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Milk Chocolate | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hoptown Honey | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cube | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hawkins Lane | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Two Mile Creek | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Commanding Candy | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | English Ransom | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Civil | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Overanalyzfakenews | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Sladens Dream | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 5 | Making a Marc | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rubus | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Boyfriend Material | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Awesome Fu | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Wild About Candy | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Hunker Down | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dig Charlie Dig | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Mine My Time | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Its a Journey | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tell Your Mama | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Coachwhip | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Tell Marge | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lounge Act | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Superduper Sky | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | More Fun Again | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | May Lily | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Love On Tides | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Diamondcoat | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Roussalka | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Queen of Connaught (GB) | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gris Gris | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Exemplar | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Casses Story | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Higher Power | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Secret House | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Heavy Roller | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mighty Manfred | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bemma’s Boy | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Frolic More | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Swordsman | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Landofthepharaohs | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ian Glass | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cardinal Coach Mac | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Homefortheweekend | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ready to Forgive | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Johny’s Bobby | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spectacular Gem | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Bobby Brown | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cabo’s Rumor | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Albany Fleet | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ty C | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Argument | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mikey’s Mouse | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beauty Boy | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss You Jo | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jonamin | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Roux | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Last Flash | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | From Now On | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | I Don’t Fly Coach | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.