Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 12, 2019

January 12, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Irish Banker 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Vinda Machine 1.80 2.3 4-1
7 7 Ladyberg 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Gypsy Mama 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Devil’s Flair 12.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Weekend Forecast 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Flat Out Funky 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 La Bella Chica 12.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Overnegotiate 1.60 2.2 4-1
1 1 Moondance Joy 3.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Sandy Belle 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Archumybaby 2.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Milaya 15.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Dreams Are Pazible 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Woundwithhereyes 20.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fox Red 10.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Missle Bomb 1.60 2.8 5-1
3 2 Threes Over Deuces 8.00 3 6-1
2 1 American Power 2.50 3 6-1
5 4 Dark N Cloudy 3.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Joe’s Smokin Gun 8.00 5.2 10-1
4 3 Tap Master 15.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Charming Cara 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Midnitesalright 0.80 2.1 4-1
2 2 Heartbustingirl 3.00 3 6-1
9 8 Rattle the Stars 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Margie Cat 15.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Shanghai Smile 10.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Warrens Vengeance 20.00 5.9 11-1
8 7 I Took a Shot 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Tousled 15.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Javelin 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Proximate to Power 1.40 3.4 6-1
1 1 Special Story 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Flatexcel 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Ultimateenticement 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Manifest Destiny 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Southeast 15.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Espresso Caliente 10.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Too Fast to Pass 3.50 2.9 5-1
5 5 Spartiatis 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Go Big Or Go Home 3.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Toohottoevenspeak 5.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Regalian 3.50 4.5 9-1
3 3 Mission Command 8.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Francis Freud 30.00 6 11-1
2 2 Quai Voltaire 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 In a Fog 30.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Mr. Dougie Fresh 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Wine Not 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 7 House Limit 2.50 4.5 8-1
7 6 Allured 6.00 5.2 10-1
9 8 Uncle Sigh 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Yamano Maker (JPN) 5.00 5.4 10-1
11 10 Stoney Bennett 12.00 5.8 11-1
5 4 Westerdale 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Vincento 15.00 6.6 13-1
10 9 Felix in Fabula 30.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Say Florida Sandy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bluegrass Express 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Gold for the King 1.20 1.8 3-1
9 8 Honor Up 4.50 3.4 7-1
6 5 Celtic Chaos 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Royal Asset 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 3 Winston’s Chance 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Syndergaard 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 Morning Breez 20.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Jewel Can Disco 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 1 Cross Multiply 1.40 1.8 3-1
3A 3 Theresa’s Boy 1.40 2.6 5-1
4 4 Holycowits Patrick 3.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Cool Crinoline 8.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Martini Lane 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Flat Out Jayvien 12.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Quintarelli 20.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Shook Em Up 10.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Kavansberg 15.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Blue Skies Forever 12.00 8 15-1
9 9 Soup Baby 20.00 9.3 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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