January 11, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Big Base 2.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Whata Flirt 3.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Crackling Bread 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Secret Offer 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Cheyenne Dancer 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Gia Lula 4.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Encountress 8.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Derby Treasure 50.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Copper Cowgirl 1.80 SCRATCH
4 3 Proper Drink 4.00 3 6-1
3 2 Reinahermosa 5.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Sea Glass 4.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Cee Sam’s Girl 2.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Annitasheaven 30.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Lookingforthewire 15.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Qahira 1.20 2.1 4-1
4 4 Calf Moon Bay 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Boujie Girl 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Kookie Gal 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Noble Contessa 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Journal Entry 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Minute Mile (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 See That Kat 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Sutro 2.50 3 6-1
6 6 Decorating 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Confidentially 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Kaydetre 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Waze Ready 12.00 5.4 10-1
11 9 Vegas Palm 6.00 6.2 12-1
9 8 The Nine O 10.00 7 13-1
8 7 More Smores 20.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Conqueror 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Little Scotty 2.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Monydontspenitself 3.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Muchos Besos 4.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Crown the Kitten 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Kawara (BRZ) 8.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Platinum Nights 2.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Mr Wonderful 10.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Asano 2.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Palaleo 6.00 2.9 5-1
6 5 Moonoverthebayou 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Red Valor 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Blame It On Rio 10.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Synthesis 6.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Haydens Havoc 5.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Urban Light (IRE) 4.00 SCRATCH
5 2 Eagle Song (IRE) 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 6 Vantastic 2.50 3.3 6-1
8 5 Seven Scents 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 1 Boa Nova (IRE) 12.00 4 8-1
7 4 Neptune’s Storm 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 3 Damiano 20.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mo See Cal 1.20 2.2 4-1
3 3 Just a Smidge 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Fool’s Paradise 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Danuska’s My Girl 3.50 4 7-1
4 4 Blazinbeauty 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Jazaalah 6.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lucky Lately 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Derby Luck 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Silk From Heaven 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Lucky Stepper 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Lakerzwin 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Shanghai Barbie 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Settle It 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 She’s a Brewer 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Scarlet Heat 3.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Bella Chica 5.00 3.8 7-1
8 6 Perfect Ice Storm 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Luckiest Lady Ever 12.00 5.5 10-1
10 8 Winterbreak 12.00 6.5 12-1
9 7 Spanish Channel 30.00 6.7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.