January 11, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big Base | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whata Flirt | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crackling Bread | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Offer | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cheyenne Dancer | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gia Lula | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Encountress | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Derby Treasure | 50.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Copper Cowgirl | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Proper Drink | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Reinahermosa | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sea Glass | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cee Sam’s Girl | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Annitasheaven | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lookingforthewire | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Qahira | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Calf Moon Bay | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boujie Girl | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kookie Gal | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Contessa | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Journal Entry | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Minute Mile (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | See That Kat | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sutro | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Decorating | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Confidentially | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kaydetre | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Waze Ready | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Vegas Palm | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | The Nine O | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | More Smores | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Conqueror | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Scotty | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Monydontspenitself | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Muchos Besos | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crown the Kitten | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kawara (BRZ) | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Platinum Nights | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mr Wonderful | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Asano | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Palaleo | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Moonoverthebayou | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Red Valor | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blame It On Rio | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Synthesis | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Haydens Havoc | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Urban Light (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 2 | Eagle Song (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Vantastic | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Seven Scents | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Boa Nova (IRE) | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Neptune’s Storm | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Damiano | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mo See Cal | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just a Smidge | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fool’s Paradise | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Danuska’s My Girl | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blazinbeauty | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jazaalah | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Lately | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Derby Luck | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Silk From Heaven | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Stepper | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lakerzwin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Shanghai Barbie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Settle It | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s a Brewer | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Scarlet Heat | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bella Chica | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Perfect Ice Storm | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Luckiest Lady Ever | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Winterbreak | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Spanish Channel | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.