January 11, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Wellwest |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Vincero |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bourbon Country |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Fortune Cookie |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Doc Kane |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Blakey |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Eyeinthesky |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jo Jo Air |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Caspian Jewel |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Avenida Manana |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miss Auramet |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Drama Free |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Towa |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Royal Asscher |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Aurora Princess |
2.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pretty Overdriven |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Miss Helen |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Liza Star |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Right On |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nothins Free |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Chilled Milk |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Joy of Treasure |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Love Mo |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Anomaly |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
You People |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Stroll to the Beat |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Spiteful |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ny Beth Getsitdone |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
For Kicks |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Tiz My Right |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Zalza |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lucky Fast |
2.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
San Diego Slugger |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Deweycheatemanhowe |
2.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Best Thunder |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Beacos Disco Pants |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Really Proud |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Length |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Samara |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bath And Tennis (IRE) |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Little Dipper |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
R Happy Ending |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tapping Colors |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Believe in Victory |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Crazy for Sofia |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bodebabe |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Jacks a Warrior |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
More Illusions |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Il Faraone |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Summer Spice |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kelly Tough |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Foolish Prince |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Midnightonbroadway |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
6 |
Brandt |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Delta Bluesman |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Silver Wings Reven |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Amelia’s Wild Ride |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Super Spender |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Green Mansions |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Benefactor |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gemologister |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
High Hours (BRZ) |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Blackjack Baby |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sent From Heaven |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mineralogy |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Baba Tobi |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Mr Joshua |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Unbridled Outlaw |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Early Entry |
2.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Storming My Way |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Springmeier |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
7 |
What’s Inside |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Noshackleshere |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
6 |
French Quarter |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Teryn It Up |
4.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Confidence Level |
4.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mjolnir |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Promontory |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
A I Initiative |
6.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Crime Lab |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Russian Wine |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
Gambit |
8.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Max Q |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Heza Kitten |
10.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
The Robert |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
10 |
10 |
Run Rite |
20.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.