January 11, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Guilty Kitty | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 7 | Highly Centsable | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Whatafind | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Silver King | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Bertie’s Galaxy | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Dream On Mister | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Closing Up | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Caeus in Pasadena | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pugilist | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Big Blue Magic | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Femme Royale | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | N. D. Free | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Cecile | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Corluna | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Aubrey | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Leavem Britten | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Brenda’s an I Full | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Maddy’s Pro | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Delaware Basin | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Tristan | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Argument | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Real Time | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tylers Bandit | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Iron Grip | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Whathadhappenwuz | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Frolic More | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sambucca | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | West Texas | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Assemblyman | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Philosophy | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pickett | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Giant Mesa | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Corruze | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | All American Hero | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mine Inspector | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Echo Alpha Six | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Most Mischief | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tom’s Last General | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Chroniqueur | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Alizee | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Singita Dreams | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Delachaise | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Angel | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Precious Arch | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fiftieth | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Song and a Kiss | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Princesschope (FR) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Aife | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Area | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 7 | Lady Temple | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Moon Dash | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Flat Meadow | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Holly Go Lightly | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Limari | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Brenda’s Fever | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bella Belle | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Jing | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Telescopic Plan | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Punto de Entrada | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Noble Companion | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 9 | Equivocal | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Defender | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Courtyard | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Yabba Dabba Dude | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dictator | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cashanova | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Moon Launch | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Just Revenge | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hardcore Folklore | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cade’s On the Bump | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Three Twins | 12.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fra Mauro | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Ninety One Assault | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Take That for Data | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Stella d’Oro | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Little John W | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Create Again | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ecru | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mobridge | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | King of Candy | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Combustible | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | It’s Fate | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Overnight Success | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Highway Song | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Twoko Bay | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Jailhouse Kitten | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Cheytac | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Arctic Dynaflow | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Whatelse Igot Todo | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Not Today Alfie | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Southern Swagg | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz Neyney and Rad | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Picacho Peak | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Boy | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Omega | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chimneyville | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Little Man | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.