Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 11, 2019

January 11, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kingdom’s Queen 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Lady Hester 1.20 3.3 6-1
5 5 War of the States 3.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Communal 5.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Taking Aim 4.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Know Point Given 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Purchasing Power 1.40 1.9 4-1
2 2 Change of Venue 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Cookie Crisp 2.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Curlin’s New Moon 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Inalienable Rights 5.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Never Before 15.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Harley Q 1.80 SCRATCH
1 1 September Gurl 6.00 SCRATCH
4 2 Flush 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 4 Awillaway 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 1 True Prosperity 15.00 4 8-1
8 6 Wall Street Annie 4.00 4.1 8-1
7 5 Tripp Road 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 3 Alvernia 15.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Teufles and Roses 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Mia Bella Rossa 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Harkness 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Stay Fond 1.60 3.1 6-1
2 2 Daria’s Angel 4.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Not About the Nail 20.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Ipanema Beach 12.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Moon Heist 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Lady Macho 6.00 SCRATCH
5 3 Countable 2.50 3 6-1
8 6 Cheatham Hill 1.40 3.3 6-1
4 2 Wadadli Princess 12.00 3.6 7-1
7 5 Anydayisherday 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 4 Sander’s Empire 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 1 Centrall 20.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Francis Freud 30.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Bavaro 0.80 2.8 5-1
4 3 Gypsum Johnny 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 7 Rectify 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 2 Sol the Freud 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 1 Proletariat 12.00 4.5 9-1
6 5 Blue Pigeon 20.00 5.6 11-1
9 8 H Man 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 6 Haudenosaunee 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Hokulea 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Ready to Escape 2.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Charlie McCoy 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Quest for Fire 4.50 4 8-1
11 10 Dark Ops 3.50 4.8 9-1
5 5 Foolish Ghost 10.00 5 9-1
3 3 Ro Bear 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Three to Thirteen 12.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Vicar’s Legend 15.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Swivel 15.00 7.3 14-1
10 9 Mystical Song 20.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ma Mo 4.50 3.6 7-1
10 10 Missbigtimes 1.60 4.3 8-1
3 3 Highleelikelee 15.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Fiveinthemorning 3.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 Wanna Be Regal 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Benina 30.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 My First Gal 5.00 6 11-1
7 7 Princess Alana 15.00 6.2 12-1
4A 4 Ziggy Is Zubby 30.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Lia Shivani 50.00 8.3 16-1
9A 9 Irish Glitter 30.00 8.9 17-1
12 12 Roses From Ben 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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