Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 10, 2019

January 10, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mraseel (IRE) 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Halo Darlin 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Goseecal 3.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Speakers 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Wind Tartare (FR) 4.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Quinnie 5.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Subic Bay 6.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Victory Element 1.20 2.1 4-1
1 1 Pointed 10.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Mantaray Island 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Candy Cornell 2.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Somethintotapabout 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Deuce 12.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Suprema 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Slewgoodtobetrue 1.00 1.8 3-1
3 2 Show Hostess 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Soothing 3.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Claudelle 4.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Bev’s Humor 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 Bellazano 12.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Girl Downstairs 2.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Miss Boom Boom 2.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Lady Beware (IRE) 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Peach Cove (NZ) 4.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Emmy and I 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 War Moccasin 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Indypendent Deputy 15.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Award It 10.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Drink 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Nice Work 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Gran Martillo 5.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 He’s Zippin On By 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Dyf 5.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Time N Money 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Resident Liberal 10.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Ohtani 5.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sheza Chattykat 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Ladybug 5.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Saburai 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Favorite Trip 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Florista (IRE) 6.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Silken Spy 6.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Ruby Trust 12.00 6 11-1
9 9 Gone to Town 8.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Our Bold Princess 15.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Promnesia 12.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 K Thirty Eight 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Adens Dream 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Allaboutaction 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Kochees 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Italiano 4.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Jan’s Reserve 12.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Bistraya 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 7 Market Sentiment 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 S Y Sky 1.60 3.1 6-1
1 1 Isa Firecracker 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Show It N Moe It 2.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Smiling Tigress 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Coco Kisses 10.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Barbara Beatrice 3.50 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Smoovie 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 I’m Sassy 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Smiling Annie 3.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Oh Pretty Woman 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Radish 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 La Guapa Velos 12.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Whoa Nessie 8.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Into Rissa 8.00 7 13-1
7 7 Eagle Ease 20.00 8.2 15-1
9 9 Perfect Portrait 15.00 8.2 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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