January 10, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Foreign Connection | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Say Yes Again | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | D’wildcat Indian | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gio Angel | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marcia Rose | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Just Willow | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Adieu Mallory | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 11 | Carolina Jasmine | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 10 | Lu Sea | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Previous Honor | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sandstorm | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tough Kicks | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Back Page Star | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Blingonthwing | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dancing Waves (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Half a Million | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Little Snip | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dr Liz | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Blue Wings | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Citali | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paddy’s Notes | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flatter the Queen | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wildwood Dejavu | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swamp Ruler | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chatainbegood | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Outback Jack | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nuggetsofknowledge | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Atlantic Ruler | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Musical Man | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | History Earned | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shanghai Story | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cajun Pinata | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Changi | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Striking Star | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Day Dreamer | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go for Moonshine | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dreamer’s Point | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kitten Street | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Guitar King | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Foldover | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bye Bye Shanghai | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tornado Man | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Liam Skye | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tommy C Me | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wings Up | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warriors Gem | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Afleet Roger | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jerrys Pridenjoy | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hidden Data | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Woman With a Book | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Just in Tee | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Jackie Blu | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Battle Colors | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | B B Special | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Uncle Youdge | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rock N Sake | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Voodoo Spell | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shangroyal | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Halfflatt | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mula Mano | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Whiskey Bravo | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Carson Kan | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Aubenas (FR) | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Domikate | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Greeley’s Wish | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wonder Run | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Autumn Warrior | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Friend Flavin | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | O’L Red | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Outofthisgalaxy | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jack Snipe’s | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Secret House | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Tuff Kid | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Archanova | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Vigilante | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Senor Blanco | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Chip Leader | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Italian Charm | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Son of a Saint | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Western Reserve | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Turbo Street (AUS) | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dontblamerocket | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Monster Bea | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Potomac River | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | St. Louie | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | California Swing | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Peej | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Nine Five Four | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Handiwork | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jericho | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Point Hope | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cameron Rules | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Senator Robert | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bank On Andy (FR) | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Santa Americana | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Curzon Street | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Express Lane | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.