January 5, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Magnato Go |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Pure Bliss |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
4 |
Princess Knoll |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
6 |
Song of Melody |
2.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tormenta de Oro |
30.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
5 |
Flying Girl |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
10 |
8 |
My Cotton Rose |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
7 |
Super Witch |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cowtown Jane |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
3 |
Dancing Noelle |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Limehouse S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Final Jeopardy |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Splicethemainbrace |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mercusio |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Combination |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Seismic Jolt |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chinomado |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Running for Riz |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Laughing Bobby |
4.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Global Campaign |
1.40 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Throw Down |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Growth Engine |
1.80 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mr. Edgar |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rye Humor |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Caroline Lois |
3.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hot Fudge Honey |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Marina View |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
She Loves It |
2.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Super Tap |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Purple Girl |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lady Furbein |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chic and Sexy |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Little Evy |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Ginger Brew S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Bella Ciao |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Pivottina (FR) |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Boxwood |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fortunate Girl |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Red Rounder |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
What a Beaut |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Beechwood Ella (IRE) |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Shoobiedoobydoo |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Noncents |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
14 |
14 |
My Point Exactly |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Abbot |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Bow Tie Affair |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Gaultier (FR) |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Lewis Vale |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Erasmo’s Dream |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Harlan’s Hunch |
4.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Could Be |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bird Humor |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Second Street |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Aire Bueno (CHI) |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Two Step Time |
20.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wake Me Up At Noon |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Fast Fire |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Remember the Maine |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
Dave Hoeght |
20.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Glitter Woman S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Fancy Dress Party |
1.80 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Midtown Rose |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Horologist |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Brunette Princess |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Love My Honey |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Paula Andrea |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Myrrh |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jeltrin |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Electro |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Andronikos |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Themanbehindtheman |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jo’s Bold Cat |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Inchesky (IRE) |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Get the Facts |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Taxman |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Storm Peak |
15.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
12 |
12 |
Paynter’s Boy |
12.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Apreciado |
12.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gio Dude |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Good Old Boy |
10.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Vassy |
20.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Kitten’s Joy S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Henley’s Joy |
0.60 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Moon Colony |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Louder Than Bombs |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bourbon in May |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Royal Urn |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Shazier |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dakota’s Dude |
8.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Casa Creed |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Stirling Drive |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Mucho Macho Man S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Code of Honor |
1.40 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Trophy Chaser |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mihos |
3.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Garter and Tie |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Well Defined |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gladiator King |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Forever Mo |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Valid Point |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
State of War |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
King Ottokar |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Clint Maroon (GB) |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Skychief |
1.80 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Firery Tale |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wild One Forever |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sambacer |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Betterment |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Secret Path |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Saltking |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Supervillain |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jerome Avenue |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Freedom’s Flight |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Bee Keeper |
15.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.