Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 5, 2019

January 5, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Magnato Go 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Pure Bliss 3.50 SCRATCH
6 4 Princess Knoll 2.50 3.2 6-1
8 6 Song of Melody 2.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Tormenta de Oro 30.00 3.8 7-1
7 5 Flying Girl 12.00 4 8-1
10 8 My Cotton Rose 20.00 4 8-1
9 7 Super Witch 4.50 4.9 9-1
2 2 Cowtown Jane 30.00 5.9 11-1
5 3 Dancing Noelle 30.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Limehouse S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Final Jeopardy 2.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Splicethemainbrace 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Mercusio 3.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Combination 4.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Seismic Jolt 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Chinomado 20.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Running for Riz 12.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Laughing Bobby 4.50 2.9 6-1
6 6 Global Campaign 1.40 3.2 6-1
3 3 Throw Down 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Growth Engine 1.80 3.9 7-1
4 4 Mr. Edgar 20.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Rye Humor 8.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Caroline Lois 3.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 Hot Fudge Honey 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Marina View 4.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 She Loves It 2.50 4.9 9-1
8 8 Super Tap 8.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Purple Girl 6.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Lady Furbein 15.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Chic and Sexy 20.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Little Evy 15.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Ginger Brew S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Bella Ciao 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Pivottina (FR) 2.00 2 4-1
2 2 Boxwood 2.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Fortunate Girl 4.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Red Rounder 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 What a Beaut 12.00 5 9-1
8 8 Beechwood Ella (IRE) 6.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Shoobiedoobydoo 15.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Noncents 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 My Point Exactly 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Abbot 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Bow Tie Affair 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Gaultier (FR) 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lewis Vale 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Erasmo’s Dream 4.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Harlan’s Hunch 4.50 5.1 10-1
1 1 Could Be 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Bird Humor 6.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Second Street 8.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Aire Bueno (CHI) 20.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Two Step Time 20.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Wake Me Up At Noon 8.00 7 13-1
11 11 Fast Fire 20.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Remember the Maine 20.00 8.4 16-1
12 12 Dave Hoeght 20.00 9.2 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Glitter Woman S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fancy Dress Party 1.80 2.6 5-1
8 8 Midtown Rose 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Horologist 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Brunette Princess 4.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Love My Honey 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Paula Andrea 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Myrrh 15.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Jeltrin 15.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Electro 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Andronikos 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Themanbehindtheman 3.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Jo’s Bold Cat 6.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Inchesky (IRE) 5.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Get the Facts 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Taxman 8.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Storm Peak 15.00 7.7 15-1
12 12 Paynter’s Boy 12.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Apreciado 12.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Gio Dude 15.00 8 15-1
2 2 Good Old Boy 10.00 8.2 15-1
11 11 Vassy 20.00 9.9 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Kitten’s Joy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Henley’s Joy 0.60 2 4-1
3 3 Moon Colony 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Louder Than Bombs 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Bourbon in May 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Royal Urn 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Shazier 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Dakota’s Dude 8.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Casa Creed 20.00 7 13-1
4 4 Stirling Drive 30.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Mucho Macho Man S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Code of Honor 1.40 2.2 4-1
3 3 Trophy Chaser 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Mihos 3.50 4 7-1
1 1 Garter and Tie 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Well Defined 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Gladiator King 12.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Forever Mo 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Valid Point 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 State of War 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 King Ottokar 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Clint Maroon (GB) 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Skychief 1.80 1.8 3-1
1 1 Firery Tale 15.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Wild One Forever 4.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Sambacer 6.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Betterment 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Secret Path 20.00 6 11-1
2 2 Saltking 15.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Supervillain 20.00 7 13-1
6 6 Jerome Avenue 20.00 7.7 15-1
11 11 Freedom’s Flight 30.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Bee Keeper 15.00 8.2 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.