January 4, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ice Kat | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | What’sontheagenda | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hollywood Square | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Taki’s Choice | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Exultation | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bellerin | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anziyan Cat | 50.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Conquest Superstar | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chosen Vessel | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Princess Leia | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Smart Rachel | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Design | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miz Tianjin | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kennedie Sky | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blooming Hannah | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stonegate | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seahawk Wave | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai Billy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aggressivity | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Molaf | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Normandy Beach | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paladar | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sudden Light | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Foxtail | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Untouched Elegance | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Take a Leap | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trust Fund Kitty | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chalky (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Drift Away | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sugary | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stone Hands | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Junior Gilliam | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Denman’s Call | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Conquest Cobra | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Allaboutmike | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big League | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Istanbul | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Railman | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Omaha Beach | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nolo Contesto | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Harmon | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Asano | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Carribean Colours | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Green Fleet | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Royal Insider | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | American Camp | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Midnight Roamer | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Okinawa | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | A Little Bit Me | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Storm | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Travieza | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tonahutu (IRE) | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Suspicious Spouse | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grace Bay | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Leroy | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tanners Pride | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clyde’s Pride | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Raul Rosas | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cyclometric | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Plain Wrap | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Minoso | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Old Indian Trick | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Satchel Paige | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Peedie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sea of Liberty | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Trending Higher | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Vezuchiy | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nice Haircut | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Unusual Rider | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tank Team | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unusual Angel | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bounty Hunter | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King Parker | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Brix | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiger Dad | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Go Like the Wind | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.