January 4, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stella’s Surprise | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Time Key | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swifty Cat | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oma Lee | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Selene’s Argument | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hiclass Production | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jericho | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Real Glitter | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Golden Gift | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Briar Jumper | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Gustnado | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Ghurair | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Tommy Grossman | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | He’s Dann Good | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Private Party | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brerry | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strut the Ring | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Kind of Crazy | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 16 | 8 | Kahramani | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sarge N Charge | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Cordero (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zarb’s Gift | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Attitude Ajustment | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Gator Vindication | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stealing Sunshine | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Exotica | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Indicating | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Take Aletter Maria | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Double Clutchin | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wanna Snuggle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Smiley Briley | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sabe Marcelete | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Gabby’s Half | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Forgotten | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Spartanburg | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dyso | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Savvy Shipman | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Room to Finish | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Katiebmeister | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Pepper Ann | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 7 | Hopette | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Toodaloo to You | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Freda’s Smooth Air | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Special Blessing | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Al’s Gal | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hyper Piper | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fairwell Tax Break | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Is Too | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sashimi Blaster | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Antarctic | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hero of the Hour | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cube | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Chop Chop Charlie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Non Regrette | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | English Ransom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Civil | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Assay | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Show and Tale | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Carbonated | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Kaliningrad | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 16 | 7 | Strong Current | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 15 | 6 | Apollo’s Leap | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 4 | Applewood | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mumford | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Optimal | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Charcoal | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 5 | One for Richie | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Coltonator | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vogt | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ace Destroyer | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aquadini | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Smithwick | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cornstarch | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 11 | Eden Grey’s Kitten | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 3 | Extra Credit | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Ninety One Assault | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 2 | Gladyousawme | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Underpressure | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Jack Snipe’s | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 6 | Papa’s Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Grande Basin | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Jockamo’s Song | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mageez | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Ready Prospector | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pound for Pound | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Darion’s Dream | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Cruising | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Salute My Lady | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sammie’s Touch | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sunshine Cake | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I. Damiana | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Titanium Girl | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jerry N Bo | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.