January 1, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Squadron Commander | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | High Powered | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Northcut | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Vicksburg | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Divine Favor | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bar Stool Budget | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | Well’s Gold | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Neon Sky | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | T’ Cadeau | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Im a Cowboy Too | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Sand Pit Road | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Throwacross | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Watch My Smoke | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Zippy | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Fire Lake | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Payday Too | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Get It to Geaux | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Gone Lucky | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Star Performer | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Backstage Star | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red La Rosa | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Khaleesi’s Gift | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paper Doll | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Casual Cool | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Can’t Count That | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dixieland Flash | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Missseventhirteen | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Truth Goddess | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Aint Annie Grand | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | War Diamond | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Telescopic Plan | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Flashly | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unbridled Class | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dream Passage | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Catkins | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Juju’s Specialgirl | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Myositis Mystique | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | How Sweet It Is | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | Whenwillicuagain | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | John Tippmann | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Parade Blue | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Divine Desire | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Label | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Taruca | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Twin Farms | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Elkhorn Poet | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | Chocolate Ride | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Peej | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 10 | Letthebigshot Roll | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Humor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 12 | Senor Blanco | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | War Bond | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Fleetway | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 14 | Ghurair | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Potomac River | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | St. Louie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 5 | Chicago Blues | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 2 | Noble Thought | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2B | 6 | Sumner | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Plug Catcher | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 4 | Chocolateicecream | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 3 | Tachi | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Champagne Diva | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jus Wow | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nola Fashion | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Penny Coin Toss | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bionic Butterfly | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Belle Force | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dance Till Two | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Brenda | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Seeking a Star | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Fides Ratio (FR) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Darling Vera | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Awesome One | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Caliber | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Passport Required | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Break Even | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Caliente Candy | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Clear as Day | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Khairiya | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | She’sonthewarpath | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Bella Falaya | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Serious Steam | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 16 | 10 | Lady of Luxury | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Halfway | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Pretty Priority | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Treys Midnite Moon | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whathadhappenwuz | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cajun Carmelized | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Confederate Yell | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | They Call Me Seb | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | War Letters | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dude Greeley | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tin Roof Rusted | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Unk’s Red Man | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.