December 31, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Seeking Fast | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Netela | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sunrise Hawk | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Taste for Talent | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rollin Smoke | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Opportunity Cost | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blushing Dreamer | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hope for Value | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Musical America | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Got Gold | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Retirement Fund | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Istillgotit | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zorzor | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Louisiana Moon | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lady’s Tribute | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Elizabeth’s Music | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | She’s Our Star | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Kraft’s Rate | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Emily Jo | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Bing’s d’Oro | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Waft | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Starmaline | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run By | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Binding Magic | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Charlotte’s Wish | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | L L L College Fund | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Toast to Gertie | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hannah Banana | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Sharp Pal | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Custom Made Ready | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Daylight Deelite | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sandy’s Wager | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 9 | Eden Grey’s Kitten | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Keep Talking | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Corot | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dawn Raider | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Clouded Judgement | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Sevier | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wile E Peyote | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | About Our Time | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Tropicat | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Driven by History | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Whiskey Bravo | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Trust in Diane | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spanish Arch | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cats Beauty | 1.40 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Bonne Margie | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Catty Krys | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smooth as Bourbon | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Timebobanna | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beauley | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Coltonator | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Charcoal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Merlin’s Song | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lookin High | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Smithwick | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Soap Bubble | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Par One | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Explorationist | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | New Frontier | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Onarock | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Flat Creek | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Carrier Landing | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Gigging | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Just Might | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Myunbridledcoyote | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 11 | Big Trip | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Color Fashioned | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Senorita Tapit | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oxbowindy | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | So Dramatic | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cry Like a Baby | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Spun Line | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Squibnocket | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Twins Plus a Dot | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cooler Schedule | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bella Belle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Glance | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Is Too | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Catkins | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Area | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Limari | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Flat Meadow | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Moon Dash | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Jing | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Brenda’s Fever | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Oh My | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 15 | 6 | Haynesfest | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Aife | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Divine Quality | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Faith Healer | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Weneedtotalk | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Icanseetheforrest | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Blondie Lox Babe | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Untuttable Speed | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brahms’ Regal Gal | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Charlotte Ann | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honduras Girl | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Haleys Court | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ladygogently | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Anang | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kenai Beauty | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kris T. | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Just Mallory | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.