December 30, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Top Hat Warrior | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Candy Wompus | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ricardito | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ice Docket | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | He’s Pretty Clever | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wheels in Motion | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Good Wheels | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Eastport | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | One More Tom | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Glengar | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bigasaurous | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Passport | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Crush It | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Johnny Banks | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Knock Out Kid | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No Stone Unturned | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sip of Sunshine | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Refunds | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ellanation | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kentucky Smooth | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Barbsgray Lion | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sipping Champagne | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Loveanor | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scarlet Tanager | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Rockin Blues | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Malabar | 3.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vinaigrette | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pride Leader | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hayley Agnes | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Flankenstein | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Best Surprise | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Candymankando | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Brahms Romp | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Menacing | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Uncle Billy | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Ticker Tape Parade | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Sound Off | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Bridle | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Road Guard Post | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Patriotic Quest | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Here Comes Michael | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Successful Zip | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wait for Dark | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Danz a Rebel | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sunman | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | By the Sey Shore | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hall Pass | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Statesboro | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Field Advantage | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sonic Boom E Jet | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tricky Lion | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | You Can Never Tell | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cousin Jimmy | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Victory Chimes | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pascal Chant | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Grillo | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Great Nation | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Smart Step | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Known But to God | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tom Hagen | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Warrior | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mice and Men | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Railmaster | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Monumental Vending | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brooks Robinson | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Thesweetesttaboo | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Setubal | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Vicki | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eighty Six Mets | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stakes On a Plane | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Janelle Dreams | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Excess | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ridgemont High | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carolina Ice | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.