December 29, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ellas My Love | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Particularity | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trio of Champions | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Real Fast Music | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stormy Forecast | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | McManaman | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Tomater Gator | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Forty Fathoms | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Over Promised | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Spirit Love | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Escape Velocity | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Express Jet | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Off Duty | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Hookup | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Exclusive Zip | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Wild Good | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Who Cares | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Giant Dilemma | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Dreamy Martini | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | King Wildcat | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Proud Enough | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Crazy Frank C | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Watch Cairo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Mystery Witness | 0.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Down to the Felt | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Heated Element | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wink and a Nod | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gem Juan | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sovereign Warrior | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reggae Pirate | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Janus S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Quijote | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Pay Any Price | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hogy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Extravagant Kid | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oak Bluffs | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vision Perfect | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Field Trip | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Dont No | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Axtell | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Little Chesney | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Kisses | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Morning Buzz | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Griff | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Star Juancho | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wildwood Dancer | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baba Tobi | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Best Candy | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Abundantia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Coastal Sea | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Lady’s Island | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Morticia | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Girls Know Best | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Smiling Causeway | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Code Warrior | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fire Key | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miz Mayhem | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Just Talkin | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unaquoi | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Goldwood | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss O’Hara | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Rumble Doll | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Conquest Tizfire | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Snack Shack | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Deplorable | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Beau Trace | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bronxville | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Last Judgment | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Squeezadios | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kong Style | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Art G Is Back | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cash On Hand | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Good Timing Man | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Goldenlineof | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Micah Man | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Tropical Park Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mrs. Ramona G. | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Weekend Mischief | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | She’s Pretty Lucky | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Too Cool to Dance | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Go Noni Go | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | American Frolic | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Andina Del Sur | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Angel of Mischief | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rahway | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hogans Holiday | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Semper Sententiae | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Too Charming | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Peach of a Gal | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 16 | 13 | Sometimesadiamond (IRE) | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Takechargedelilah | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Proud O’Paddy | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Via Borghese S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tricky Escape | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Snirvana (IRE) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lipstick City | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Thinkin Cowtown | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Beau Belle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Peru (GB) | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Holy Helena | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Si Que Es Buena (ARG) | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Danceland | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Silver Shaker | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | Majestic Angel | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | So Charming | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Top Cats (ARG) | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – H. Allen Jerkens S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Without Remorse | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Soglio | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Nessy | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cullum Road | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Archer Road | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Camp Creek | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Knight | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seeking Albert | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ekhtibaar | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Winter Union | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Galope Americano (BRZ) | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Porter Street | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Unbridled Holiday | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Lascaux | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Tropical Park Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Hey Big Guy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Breaking the Rules | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Therapist | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lookin to Strike | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sniper Kitten | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Rose’s Vision | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | He’s Bankable | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Renaisance Frolic | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ceevee | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sand Dancer | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ambassador Jim | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Silent Citizen | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eye of a Jedi | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Deputy Czar | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Dragon | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.