December 29, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Louisiana Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cafe Du Monde | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classy John | 0.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jimi’s a Star | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shae’s Day | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Why Not Charlie | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Scrimmage | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Friend of Dubai | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brush With Caution | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ide’s Last Music | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Trip | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Priority | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bold Zarb | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kat’s Pop | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Drayke’s Channel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Neon Gator | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Crossfire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 7 | Ekaterinoslav | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Believeinholidays | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Piocho | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Farat | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sailing Solo | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blue Rooster | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Don Curlione | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Destiny Awaits | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Uncle Artie | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Victory Lane | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Timbrook | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Louisiana Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Fantasy | 0.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Bitters | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Goodprofit | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Its Misty in Paris | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scat At Ms. Pat’s | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Raising the Ante | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cohenscollegefund | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Beautiful Ballad | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Nerissa | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bee Bit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Worlds Apart | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | How Did She Do It | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Freedom Passage | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Ishtar | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | On Her Terms | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Out for a Spin | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Go to War | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 16 | 8 | Illuminator | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Gladiola | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sundaysatthebeach | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prado’s Encore | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Zamzam | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 7 | Just Say Mo | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Alex’s Turn | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Sherminator | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Discreetly D | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tensas Talk | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scarlettsblackjack | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brother Pops | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tap City Danzer | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Ten | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sweet Kody Lane | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Woodchopper S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dubby Dubbie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Morning Stride | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Stolen Pistol | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Noble Commander | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zero Gravity | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lusitano | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | McFeely | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Marzo | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Reride | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Ballard High | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Call West | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Twoko Bay | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | G’s Turn | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tap Gun | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Go Google Yourself | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mylady Curlin | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dessert Honeys | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jet Away Sue | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | C Islandsurprise | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hey Negrita | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Broome | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ask Me Another | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Pago Hop S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Holly Go Lightly | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Kabella | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | She’s All Skeet | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Tell Marge | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Beach Waltz | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Queen of Connaught (GB) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Pretty Lady | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Santino | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 8 | Cool Beans | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Hint of Mint | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Remember Daisy | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Memorial Drive | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Roussalka | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 7 | Starving Artist | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 15 | 9 | Youvegottopaytopla | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Concho | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lodi Street | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bordini | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hatties Jewel | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sammy Wonder Stone | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | El Jake O | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | M C Squared | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Citali | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Dance Caller | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chase the Bling | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Cha Mono | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Chief Envoy | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | What a Image | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.