December 28, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Reiltin Oir | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Psycho Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bidding Circle | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Our Closure | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Play That Tone | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elizabeth’s Vow | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cocktail Skirt | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Abdication | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Bodie’s Valentine | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Motherwell | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Zoe | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Herecitykitty | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Glorious Freedom | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | High Flying Guy | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Cal | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnightonbroadway | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Luminary Flight | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Foolish Prince | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Somedreamscometrue | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miago | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Papillon | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Starship Reina | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arcelor | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pink Mama | 1.40 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pure Bliss | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forty’s Sweetheart | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yakut | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Daisy’s Storm | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Princess Daniela | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | All About Hay | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Tas Time | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Friday | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Southern Toddy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | J P’s Rose | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Mississippi Sound | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Buenamoza | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | First and Three | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Impress Me | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whitecap Bay | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Belle | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moscow Minister | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Homeboy | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Street Chopper | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Perfect State | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Irish Fix | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cloudy Day | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shanghai Dreams | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Iana | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Little Nicole | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Truly Courageous | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Deer Island Diva | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nina’s Patience | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Little Neck | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Salt Pond | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Elle Jo | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Bird of Peace | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Liberty’s Pursuit | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Identifier | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bundibunan | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quality Special | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whata Show Off | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thetrashmanscoming | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Booby Trap | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Come On Gerry | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Designing | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Denver | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hot Liaison | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Jimi Bags | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Barrier Island | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ferdinanda | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Track Kathern | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Icespire (GB) | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spicy Nelly | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 15 | 11 | Tamit (IRE) | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Celia’s Song | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tropicality | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Saranda | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Subtle Step | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kailee (IRE) | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Scattered Thoughts (IRE) | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tale of Fire | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Conquest Windycity | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zulu | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Crescent | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Weisser | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Focus On Me | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sparticle | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Wicked Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Surf Shack | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Leroi’s Gem | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Coniston | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Golden Decision | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Blasphemy | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Something Bird | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Al Taweel | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jegos Fire | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Manhattan Project | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sky Knight | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Didnt Do It | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sturgeon | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Panama Papers | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bound Bi Luck | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rumbago | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Miss Antonella | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gray Dove | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Allez Allez | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Sand Drift | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mesa Madeira | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Courtesy Notice | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rosa Star | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bally Squall | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Narrows Bridge | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rucia Mora | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Begin | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Yansa | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Oblio’s Wish | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gracie’s Dream | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Shirley | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mi Karlita | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.