December 28, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Gottabegolden | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Queen E | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Gio Angel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Kaydees in Town | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Starlet Scarlett | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Cicada’s Song | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Hustle | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Rule Taylor Rule | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Willow | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sunshine Deelite | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Snowball | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Da Due Run Run | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Bellamy Cay | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Little Jen | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ganso Galopante | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dad Said No | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Oro de Tejano | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pippin | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lethal Levy | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Betwithbothhands | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Felipe | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Air Balloon | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cool Sailor | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Moon Unit | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | I’m Amazing | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Im the Best I Know | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hitthegroundrunnin | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wild Road | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Court’s Revenge | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honest John | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mountain Warrior | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | The Vincenator | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Carolina Jasmine | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stealth Drone | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Rake It Up | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Ceremony | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maid Easy | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mystic Magnolia | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Indian Gem | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sohni | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mosta Flyin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Speedy Fellar | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cookies Are Good | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Proud | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ed’s Rocket | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Red Corvette | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Senator Robert | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Am Ready Again | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bing | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Native Wahoo | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lurey An | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cinnamon Diva | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Star Too | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vanishing Image | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Band | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Avas Discreet Eyes | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Proudmoney | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strikingly Smart | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speak Briley | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Arch’s Li’l Nieta | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Half | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dori’s Birdies | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Little Girls Rule | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Les Paul | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Arnaud | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Run for Three | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | El Hombre | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jennovodka | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Greeley’s Glacken | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Colonel Soul | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Red Roux | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | He’s No Bully | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Comebackwilson | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Step to the Bar | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | I B Revolutionery | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Take Charge Chase | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Yakadaddy | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Run Parker Run | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.