December 28, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | American Rule | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 2 | Bon Raison | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Fox Red | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Take Your Place | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Monteleone | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | California Night | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mad Munnys | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shuffling Madness | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Run for Boston | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Theresa’s Boy | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holycowits Patrick | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Local Edition | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cool Crinoline | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clonedsimmard | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Skies Forever | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rucksack | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zealous | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hero’s Welcome | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dance for Oro | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Replicator | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scrutinize | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Giant Ending | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Miss Loyalty | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Mikayah | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Nanny | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’sakittykat | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Caoimhe | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mercurian | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | B Three | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Princess Akris | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Call It a Truce | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Easy Banker | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | She’s a Lumberjane | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Analyze With Honor | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sander’s Empire | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Semaya | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Devil’s Flair | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mats Checkride | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Papa Shot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Blue Pigeon | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Blue Belt | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Bourbon | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | T Loves a Fight | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | We Should Talk | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fleet Irish | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Readyheartandsoul | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mighty Zealous | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Harkness | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Naples Princess | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Noble Freud | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Norma’s Charm | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shimmering Moon | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hoponthebusgus | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Controllingthegold | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Rockin Emmzy | 0.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Karabessa | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Congrats Ellen | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wild Type | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Her Way | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dazzle Me | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sister Emily | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.