December 27, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nile Princess | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Southernperfection | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bella Vincenza | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Amaluna | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Oro Bird | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Miss Contessa | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Radiantrithym | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Untrue | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sunshine Charlie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Trev | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Mr French (GB) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Hardened | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dance Proudly | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jersey Joe B | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Richest Gifts | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | I’m Cardinal | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Little Baltar | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Go Gone Gone | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Black Jet | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Greely Is Back | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | The Zip Zip Man | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Henny Hefner | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Modern Tale | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | West of Eden | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bimini | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Farfalla | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Harry | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hill Valley | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Creedibility | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Creative Award | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cetara | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dreamingofmermaids | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paola | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Enigmatica | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kaylie’s Girl | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magnato Go | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Classic Act | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tuesday’s Rose | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Italian Summer | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | It’s Complicated | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catsoutofthebag | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uncommon Factor | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Come Storming | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Henny’s Treasure | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cassidy’s Smile | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Starlight Ridge | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | War Rose | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maybelle | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Just Chill | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sweet Gelato | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Kayden | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | For the Road | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ebrio | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nomad | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | San Diego Slugger | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beacos Disco Pants | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gator Fifty Two | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flat Out Flying | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Griff | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mineralogy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Welovecandy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Small Fortune | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Captain Gaughen | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bushrod | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gran Malbec | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tenacity Zip | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whenthedovescry | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Epic Drama | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moonwalker | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Diddley | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | City Roc | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Focused | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aerial Assets | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pink Sands | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | True Boots | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Treasure in Heaven | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gianna’s Gift | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whip Me Into Shape | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lisa’s Escarpment | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Posse Needed | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Fairyland | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Peach of a Gal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Conquest Hardcandy | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Battle Joined | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vendita | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sierra Aleone | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Indian Paint | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Volatility Index | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sanity | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Evita Capitana (ARG) | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Laur Net | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Lover’s Key | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Web o’ Gold | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Rainbow | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Off Topic | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shacklette | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Makealitlemischief | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wrong Color | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Blossom | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Call Me Fancy | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Triumphant | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Little Lady | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.