December 27, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stuck in Vegas | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Absolut Neworleans | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Band Boss | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Don’t Fly Coach | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Guitar King | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | From Now On | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Unrestricted | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Saratoga Vacation | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Inspector Eddie | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Whatafind | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Cheap Shot | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Boston Repo | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Saint William | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dream On Mister | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 9 | Boston Bind | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Man Camp | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ambassador House | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 10 | Shanghai Story | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Changi | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | Pure Valor | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Chambliss | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Brown’s Monkey | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Golden Argument | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quiet Prince | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Custom | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lion Rampant | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clever Racer | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lil Blinkey | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | D J Soul Sista | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Real Glitter | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Trouble in Phoenix | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Briar Jumper | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tommy Grossman | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ghurair | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Throwacross | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Strut the Ring | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Theoryintopractice | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Brerry | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Always a Catch | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | A He’s an O’Prado | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 16 | 8 | Kahramani | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Freakonthelead | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Heir to Dream | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Captain Tyree | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Flying Rosie | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Any Ole Thing | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Weavemeawinr | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fiftyshadesofnay | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Starfish Point | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ten Tap Dances | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deez Jitterbug | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Youdge | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tough Kicks | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Voodoo Spell | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Aubenas (FR) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Junket | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Domikate | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | B B Special | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Warrior’s Kid | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Rock N Sake | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Arch Cat | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Itsthebourbontalkn | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Forze Mau (VEN) | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Just Blaze | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Concord Fast | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flat Lucky | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | You’re Killin Me | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speightsong | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wonder Run | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shangroyal | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ebben | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | No Funny Biz | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Pont Du Gard | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Gentlmens Agrement | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Im a Cowboy Too | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Papa’s Boy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Paddy O’Lionel | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Bam Bam Bryan | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zenucci | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sean | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | King Cake | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Harbor Pilot | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Impressive Student | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | In Charge Halo | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lass Channel | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | True Emperor | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Blushing Dreamer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Release the Beast | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bumptybumpbump | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Quiet Dude | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beautiful Game | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Garrison K | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Turner Time | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mini Chunk | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bourne in Nixa | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Vapor Viper | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Sparkys Surprise | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.