December 26, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Paloma Belle | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | My Half | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lil Kylie | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Tencentmartinimary | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Darby | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Wind Zee | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Miss Rippinlips | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Casey’s Doll | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Date | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Emery’s Dream | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Unbridled Honey | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Dove | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Interslew | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Support | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mandy Blue | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Noble Love | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unapologetic Me | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Five B C | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Russian Mafia | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lancelots Lady | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fun Paddy | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Conquistador | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Favorite Song | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ukuru | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Commanding Candy | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Loopallu | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Apello | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tringale | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Freakin Joe | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Victory Seeker | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Myositis Mystique | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Havinfunyet | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Kitchen Boss | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mizzen Air | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Behold the Queen | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | On My Toes | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Goddess of Kip | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lady Temple | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Little Snip | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Go Go Goose | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Vow Me Over | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 15 | 13 | Kentucky Brown | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Stormin Charlotte | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | I. Damiana | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Her Name Is Um | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | City Candy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Girlfriend Rocket | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Newellton | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Eskendar | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Inthemidstofbiz | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Triple Malt | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dreams Are Made | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Be Nimble | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | British Invader (GB) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Storm Stride | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Fiftieth | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Kaydees in Town | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Neva’s Gal | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bronco Sally | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Free to Fly | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Matt’s Honey | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sissy’s Kitten | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Michel It’s Autum | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Laser Ladee | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Maid of Iron | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Another Mimosa | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cirrusly | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tillie’s Angel | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Precious Arch | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Tiffany Lass S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Diamondcoat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Shenandoah Queen | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moonlit Garden | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frost Wise | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | America’s Tale | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Auspicious Babe | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hey Niki | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Bye Bye Birdstone | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Power Song | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Chaos Theory | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wild About Candy | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arctic Joy | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Psychic Energy | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chaps | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Risky Steps | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Drunken Fridays | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 15 | 14 | Jimmy Joe | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | A Song for Arch | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Best Discretion | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Countach | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Picknngrinn | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Whistling Wind | 30.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Itsthebourbontalkn | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Forgotten Coast | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 14 | Always a Catch | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Making a Marc | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Big Gemmy | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Niigon’s Glory | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Carlos | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kingsville | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stuart Hall | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Mr Darcy | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Tapit Wicked | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Curlins Pride | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Indium | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Dreamer’s Point | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kathak | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Osage Moon | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tom Management | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rionero | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tuaandtwentysix | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Conative | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fever Temple | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Rock On Kitten | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Vineyard Sound | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cowboys Dream | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Centsmybabyleftme | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Diamond Prospector | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Charming Bullet | 50.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Social Cat | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Jennovodka | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Puma Rocket | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Juneberris Sound | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Horace Charles | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Charlie de Hustle | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mr. Carlos | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Da Van Geaux | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My Run’s On | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Last of the Luck | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Doug’s Bug | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Mira | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Aces Destiny | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.