December 23, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
15 |
15 |
Two Step Slew |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Gray Granite |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Hillsdown |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Bad to the Core (FR) |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Homedrill |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Knokke by the Sea |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Mr. Nobody |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tiz Luna |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Montt |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Allegiance |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Karamchand |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Perfect Beam |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Rage Away |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Take Charge d’Oro |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Direct Approach |
5.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Uncle Carlito |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Rigo |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Artist |
1.40 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Candy Max |
2.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lovingrdsimmar |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cape Marco Drive |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Ours Dream Fly |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Dreamin of d’Wild |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Chinomado |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Federal Case |
1.20 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Frosted Grace |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Moonster |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
French Revolution |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Gran Bonita Chica |
1.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mary Lee and Me |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Si Te Vas |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Return the Favor |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Valerie First |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Starof Distinction |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tong Shu |
30.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Me Gusta Papi |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Chatiment |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Nominal Dollars |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
The Scotsman |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Amiral |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Raising the Flag |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hollywood Strike |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Baby I’m Perfect |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Bondetti |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Unlockthepotential |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Morocco |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Stock Trade |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Eagle Dance |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Be Gone Daddy |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Courage and Honor |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Bourbon Currency |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Maximinus Thrax (FR) |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Exprompt (FR) |
8.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gemologister |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Megacity |
30.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Go Poke the Bear |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Glory of Florida |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
All in Stew Oui |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Phantom Currency |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Jamming Eddy |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Overdeliver |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Bodexpress |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
6 |
Ownitifyouwantit |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Personal Time |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Teryn It Up |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bail Out |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Preacher Power |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Freedom Matters |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Divide |
10.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Clear for Action |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Belgrano |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Old Guard |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rumson Rally |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Run Rite |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
5 |
5 |
Allaboutthebeach |
30.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Grace’s Drama |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Queens Quarters |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sara’s Day |
2.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cuckoo Kenia |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Break Away |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tormenta de Oro |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Song of Melody |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Luz Estrella |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Italian Smile |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Flying Girl |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
12 |
12 |
Motion’s First |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Devuelta |
20.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Hard Legacy |
1.80 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Comic Kitten |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
No Mo Temper |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Irish Willow |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Oceans of Love |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Early Time (FR) |
6.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miss Unbridled Cat |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Souper Escape |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Music Major |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Totally Obsessed |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
14 |
14 |
Honolua Bay |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
My Agape |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Awesome Marq |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Mia Solina |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Lady Grace |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
10 |
9 |
My Maiko |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Paradise Retained |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Avenida Manana |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
11 |
10 |
Blonde Moment |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
12 |
11 |
Charlotte the Brit |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
6 |
5 |
Violent Trick |
10.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
8 |
7 |
Bering Strait |
8.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Holly Hundy |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
13 |
12 |
Pardon My Heart |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Don’t Make Fun |
12.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Get Rewarded |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.