December 22, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Wendy Wend |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Visual Effect |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Blow the Whistle |
1.40 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
1 |
Double Whammy |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
3 |
Watch My Dust |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
4 |
Sebray |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
5 |
Prime Time Man |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Mrs. Rembrandt |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6A |
6 |
Saturday’s Rein |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
7 |
Madame Tiger |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lonely Drifter |
1.80 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Child’s Play |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jilted Runaway |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4A |
4 |
Rein Supreme |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
6 |
Shecor |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Polarization |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Limited View |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Fillupcohensapiker |
5.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Adios Annie |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
She’s Stunning |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Luz Mimi |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Frosty Margarita |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Enchanted Ghost |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
I Still Miss You |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
6 |
Reality Queen |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4A |
4 |
Samadi Blue |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
7 |
Roaring Ocean |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
11 |
10 |
Trion Wings |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
12 |
11 |
By the Bay |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
The Glominator |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Joey Gotcha |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
I’mthetapitnow |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2A |
2 |
Top Hat Ragtop |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
4 |
Lucky Bull |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
9 |
8 |
Romancing the Cat |
10.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
13 |
12 |
Apachean |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Payneful |
20.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
10 |
9 |
Mead Avenue |
30.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Homespun Hero |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Regal Quality |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
General Downs |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
No More Talk |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Measured |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Saratoga Bob |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dothat Dance |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Robin Hood |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
10 |
8 |
Ballivor |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fireman Oscar |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
16 |
16 |
Kustaafu |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Meetatbdubs |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Cool Man Cletus |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Honor Run |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
El Rojo |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
13 |
13 |
Rafter |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kosher Kontract |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Belmont Ride |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Row the Boat |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Seany P |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
1 |
1 |
C V’s Jackpot |
15.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
7 |
7 |
Southern Myth |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
4 |
4 |
Disputed Notion |
30.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
12 |
12 |
Senor Seville |
15.00 |
10.2 |
19-1 |
14 |
14 |
Rock Rabbit |
15.00 |
10.4 |
20-1 |
6 |
6 |
Luv the Painter |
50.00 |
11.1 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Cinderela El Crome |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cozy Lover |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shane’s Jewel |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Wild Rider |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
In Arrears |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Eastern Bay |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cheese On |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Robey’s Boy |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fly E Dubai |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Dat Dares Gold |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Chobee Girl |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Missin Maggie |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
8 |
Journeyonthemove |
4.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Special Risk |
3.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Holiday Magician |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
7 |
Banana Kova |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Why Not Be Sexy |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Big Momma |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
6 |
Little United |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ms. Picadilly |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Lawn Dart |
1.40 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bratt Stack |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fairy Wish |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
One Odd Story |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Megalomania |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Clover Bottom |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Alluring Prospect |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Alibarbara |
15.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.