December 22, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Quizzical Cajun | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Runs North | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Souper Courage | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | He’s Smokin Hot | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rattle’m | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai Go Go | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Followhisfootsteps | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stirling Drive | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Frosted Grace | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Moscow Minister | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | A Thread of Blue | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Joyful Heart | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | English Bee | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dull Knife | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bluegrass Parkway | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kentucky Allstar | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dabo | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Orra Moor | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eastern Princess | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapit’s Princess | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cory Gal | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Tina | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Purple Girl | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Lady Worthington | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grenadier | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Olympic Runner | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Skole | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Overleveraged | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Souper Jaguar | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Half Shot | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sharetheblame | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Higgins | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bama Bound | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Browns Gap | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King Power | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unexplained | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | W W Concerto | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diplomatic Shaft | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Regal Force | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Whiskey Shiner | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Judith’s Sunset | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Midnightonbroadway | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Down to the Felt | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | My People Sing | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mr Lucas | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Mondaymorningmemo | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Noble King | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Field Officer | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dream of God | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rosas for Jimmy | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Why Trust | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Quest Approval | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | W W Handsome | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Passport to Chaos | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bantu | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Another | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Examiner | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Harlan’s Hunch | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cometin | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ghost Giant | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Drop Kick | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Caloric | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cash Dividend | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Colonel Moorhead | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Motatan | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Little Dipper | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dealer’s Girl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | R Happy Ending | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Curluck | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tap Tap Taparoo | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Razorback Lady | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | First Appeal | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lenamarie | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A Bit of Mischief | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Catharsis | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bright Venezuelan | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mercurial Miss | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Shakhimat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Siding Spring | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Vici | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Night Prowler | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Zennor | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Irish Strait | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Revved Up | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Cub | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | End Play | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Bricks and Mortar | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tombelaine | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Krampus | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Space Mountain | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Jay’s Way | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Mr. Prospector S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kroy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uno Mas Modelo | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Coal Front | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Storm Advisory | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heartwood | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wild Shot | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Conquest Big E | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweetontheladies | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Belle Tapisserie | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | J. S. Choice | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | K Choice | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Gray Beau | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Golden Decision | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Rompin Reid | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Uno Emayo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Son of Oahu | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Who’s Your Drama | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Race Me Home (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chief Exchanger | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gaultier (FR) | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Barney Rebel (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | All Go | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Franklin Towers | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Rally | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | King of Spades | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Grandpa Knows Best | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Major Attitude | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.