December 22, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Taking Aim | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Lady Hester | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cottonwood Falls | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sweet Avery | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cadeau de Paix | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kingdom’s Queen | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Know Point Given | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | King Kranz | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Halloween Horror | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Distortion | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Toohottoevenspeak | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gorelli | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Truly a Moon Shot | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Quai Voltaire | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | E J’s Legacy | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Francis Freud | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Miss Imperial | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Power Gal (JPN) | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sheza Diva | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Takecharge Mirella | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mrs. Crews | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Mischief | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dovey Lovey | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bull Feathers | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Pioneerof New York | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Annette’s Humor | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | D’s Sis | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kathy’s Cause | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Flambe | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Toddle House | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pendolino | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bustin Scones | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Take It All Back | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | T J’s Rose Ella | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Top of the Page | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ironclad | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Doyouknowsomething | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Someday Jones | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Devine Dental | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mills | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Let Me Go First | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | G Zap | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | True Gold | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beach Front | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coach Villa | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Funny Guy | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | The Big Lebanese | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Center City | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tordito’s Bank | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Centennial Banker | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moo Lah | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whistling Birds | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ticked All Daboxes | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Charlie McCoy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Wushu Warrior | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Smokin Platinum | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Prankster | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | P J Advantage | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Suas | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Preferred Outcome | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Proletariat | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Our Last Buck | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lem Me Tel Ya | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Vicar’s Legend | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Haudenosaunee | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Our American Star | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Queens County S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Adulator | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Backsideofthemoon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Name Changer | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Exulting | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Small Bear | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Monongahela | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bonus Points | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Degrom | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bal Harbour | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Holiday Bonus | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Simmering Miss | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Benina | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Ziggy Is Zubby | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Fiveinthemorning | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ramblin’ Ma’am | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Wanna Be Regal | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Catania Rose | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Here Comes Helen | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Tough Gold | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Highleelikelee | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Seattle Frost | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Our Marikka | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | She’saprettylady | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reyana Reya Dreams | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Miss Gary Z | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.