December 21, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bayou Millie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ticketformichelle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wasnt Joking | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cool Sis | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Top Ten Duchess | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | McIlhenny | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Argument Won | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Overly Sweet | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | No Cacha Na (CHI) | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lookout Mountain | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Karma | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zena Rules | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Believeinsomething | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Babaknowsevrything | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Soaring Now | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Catty Krys | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Miss Mariposa | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Leavem Britten | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Corluna | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Aubrey | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pugilist | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brenda’s an I Full | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Unfading Beauty | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Lady Quality | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | N. D. Free | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Word of the Day | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Cajun English | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Se Fue | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Parisian Stroll | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 3 | Fiduciary Values | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dance | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Rocket Queen | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Fashion’s Touch | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sacred Storm | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Boots | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wave of Perfection | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | One Shot to Win | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Two Emmys | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Just in Tee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Cool Sailor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Temple City Star | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Aloo Ghost | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Poppy Joe Rocks | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mensch | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Cairo Holiday | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | War Treaty | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Coworker | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Freemore | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Lero Lero | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Idaho Tornado | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Heavy Traffic | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Paynt Battle | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Three Twins | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Scilly Isles | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Sacred Lady | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Champagne Tale | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Alizee | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | In Charge Annie | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blunt Force | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Perfect Reins | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Oh Bette | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Homefieldadvantage | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Artistic Quality | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Coexistence | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magical Peapod | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Regal Serenade | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Blessed Union | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mo’s Song | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Believe in Me | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Actress On Board | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Zee Ro Drop | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Pretty At War | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cosmic Code | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Free Cover | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grandaria | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eres Tu | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Street Band | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Skip and a Hop | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tryon Summer | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drinking Dixie | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 12 | Owendale | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Ship of the Line | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 5 | Blockbuster | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | He’ll Do | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Spectacular Gem | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Ian Glass | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Ready to Forgive | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Cardinal Coach Mac | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Chroniqueur | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 3 | Mo Speed | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Landofthepharaohs | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Alliterative | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Big Bobby Brown | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Weidenbachers Gent | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Tristan | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whathadhappenwuz | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hansen’s Holiday | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Iron Grip | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | V Double U | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Personal Conflict | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tylers Bandit | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.