December 21, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stars Wilburn | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sandy Belle | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | China Rider | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ivy’s College Fund | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Three Illusions | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Satin Sheets | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Marion | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Trance | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Americano | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catch Me If U Can | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saratoga Style | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Power Source | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jazzy J | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Malarkey | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fire Command | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Solitary Gem | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speed Khaleesi | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mazmania | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiffany’s Vision | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Simona | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Sky | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | She’s a Lumberjane | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Tousled | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bel Cuore | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Central Banking | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caralicious | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Too Many Tales | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Rattle the Stars | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Stabilize | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Emmy Knows | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Minit Maus | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sara Street | 0.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wisconsin Night | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aikenetta | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pecan Pattie | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Three Hawk | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take Charge Tina | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Call It a Truce | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Rose of Dublin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Starr Gate Jones | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Joansburntbiscuit | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Draiocht | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dontcallmefrancis | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | I Took a Shot | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Accabonac Harbor | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Charming Cara | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sander’s Empire | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Margie Cat | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Javelin | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Can’tweallgetalong | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Regalian | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baseline | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fled | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fun Prospect | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Southeast | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Manifest Destiny | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | J S Bach | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tommy T | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Title Ready | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sir Ballantine | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Thebigfundamental | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Brown | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hammerin Aamer | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | American Lincoln | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Papa Zulu | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nth Degree | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Theodosia | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Our Girl Abby | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | D J’s Favorite | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cool as You Like | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Finding Perfection | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Questeq | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Transaction Tax | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Aunt Babe | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Go Astray | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.