December 20, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fixed Point | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Green Mansions | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Singanothersong | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Chip Prospect | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sambucca Steve | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mongo Nation | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blackjack Baby | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Very Colorful | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nikki Bella | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ice Show | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Overdriven | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nothins Free | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Right On | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Three Socks One | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Memorize | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rethinkme | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Copper Vessel | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shim | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nuclear Code | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No Dinero | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mystical Myles | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Salsa Capuchino | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cyber Josh | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Delta Bluesman | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mucho Prospect | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dupree | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Musical Heart | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Growth | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Chinumado | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Mambo Dancer | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sweet Apple Pie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Reconsider It | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Miss Accuse | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Iridescent Morn | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Buffet | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Magic | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bless the Rains | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oh What Ah Moment | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catiluca | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yes Its Factual | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Barb’s Gray Girl | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Run Gal Run | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stage Review | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Soroa | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Royal Squeeze | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vincero | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scotuscare | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Particularity | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Polar Jet | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coop Tries Harder | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forty Fathoms | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dubull | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | So Long Chuck | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Salambo | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cowboy Bob | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | King Leo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | No Bang No Boom (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Recapture | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Exchange Fever | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Twisted Licorice | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Inda Zone | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thinkingofcharles | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Snoose Goose | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Elusive Ro | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sky’s Son | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Forever Mo | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Artyouglad | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Free Flayme | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rose Tree | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She Takes Heart | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Drop Dead Red | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heaven’s Humor | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Favorite Gift | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lesley May | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Worth Avenue | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nikki My Darling | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Moscow Minister | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tangible | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vow Me Now | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | First and Three | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Doctor D J | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Willing to Speed | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Si Es Goya | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mozo Bello | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tactical Quality | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Max K. O. | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Man Astray | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Guerreron | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Maximum Security | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Commander Fish | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gem Juan | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Malibu Elusion | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Math Wizard | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rising Storm | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Makinalegacy | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Red One | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Colosal | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Titere | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.