December 18, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Jimmy Who |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Thank You Ricketts |
1.60 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Loco Lobo |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Egyptian Pioneer |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Big Lie |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Smart Rags |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Li’l Dude L Do It |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Kowboy Kenny |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Cape May Ferry |
1.80 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bobcat |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lunar Rover |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
What the Chub |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Limerick Lightning |
4.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Recanted |
20.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
9A |
9 |
Sunshine Sperry |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
11A |
11 |
R Power Grid |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mr. Louis |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Salutation |
30.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Wild Man |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Moon Shock |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Brazilian Symphony |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Majestic Bloom |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Banana Anna |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hopeful Angel |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Don’s Escapade |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Postino’s Champion |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Peter G. Fox |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Elusive Hero |
1.20 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
7 |
Mutaraabit |
1.60 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Real Factor |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Rebel Traveller |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Jimmy Idontknowya |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
1 |
Mission Oberon |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
6 |
Jersey Fresh |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
5 |
Lusty Dude |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Pig Pen |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Won and Done |
1.60 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Black Stetson |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Klingon Warrior |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
E J’s Revenge |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Beyond Honor |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Pirate |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Corsario |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Flashonforty |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Via Castagna |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fot |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Kelly’s Silver |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gran Fortress |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rebel Vow |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
12 |
12 |
Another Smarty |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Razzy’s Reward |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jacopone |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Full Redemption |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
Proudmiamicitizen |
30.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
3 |
3 |
Money Maker |
30.00 |
9.8 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Chasing My Halo |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
2A |
1 |
Arrecife |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3A |
2 |
Little Siete |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Pinatubo |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Howboutthemcowboys |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Bang the Drum |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
Strawberry Red |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
5 |
Refuseing |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
9 |
8 |
Team Ribot |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Abuela Loca |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Special Included |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Donna’s Dunkirk |
3.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Vested Venture |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Orquidea |
4.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bella Filomena |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hola Princess |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4A |
4 |
Lost Princess |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Case Dismissed |
15.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
11 |
10 |
Pretty Cool Cat |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
7A |
7 |
Heart Beat Away |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Chill Factor |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Perfect Ice |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Southern Kisses |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Redneck Cowboy |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Window Table |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Vow’s Son |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Blinding |
15.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
12 |
12 |
American Greatness |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kook’s Kat |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lucky Clemen |
12.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
11 |
11 |
Gorsuch |
20.00 |
8.7 |
17-1 |
4 |
4 |
Graymond |
30.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.