December 16, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Paxos | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Giant Pulpit | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Major Kelly | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take Another Shot | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Earthquakedirector | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crime Wave | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Two Timing | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Apatow | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Scat Saran Scat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | I’se Dubai | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lillz Not Crying | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jail Time | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red Sahara | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Parrsboro | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Pound Sterling | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brainfreeze | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Argentium | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sharp Brew | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vaughan | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fahrenheit | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wolf Ridge | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lafleur | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mamita’s Chica | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kilkenny Prospect | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Postman Pat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Rebellion’s Dream | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Miracle Silver | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Tishina | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | The Other Breeze | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Street Review | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Slam | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Victory L. | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | You’re Batman | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yoda Man | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Athena’s Legacy | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Giant Mine | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Coolshade | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | We Take Checks | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Wok N Roll | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Yzerman | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | Majestic Melody | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frankie Barone | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Mayan Ghost | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Self Inflicted | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | He’s a Macho Man | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Skynyrd | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Change At the Top | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fast Fairy | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Brutus | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lucky Street | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cawaja Time | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Silent Blaze | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Poquito Bandito | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Studio B | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spring Edition | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Station Rock | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mambointheforest | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dark Ale | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Klassy Delight | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Royal Fuerst | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bella Nina | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beaufils | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Glib Marylin | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stormy Vision | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unrivaled Soul | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Conquer the Course | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Sails | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Retreat | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesomeendswithme | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boyne River | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Show Me the Prize | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Timeskip | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sandy Bay | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Sting | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nevaeh’s Dream | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Water Polo | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ringo Classic | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unbounded Spirit | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alacritous | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Unlimited Resource | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Street Legal | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sine Metu | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lookin At Bravo | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Seeking the Bay | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Itstartswithadrink | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | World of Prospects | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Goldminer | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Twentytwentycrest | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hushin’ Russian | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sent From Heaven | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Analyzer | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Desolator | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Marcus | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Legal Gump | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fullthrottle Kid | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bay of Rum | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pool Playa | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chiricahua Signal | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Jimmie | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speightstown Time | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rince Tapaigh | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Detroit Steel (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wet Your Whistle | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tinker Ring | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blu Without You | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Northern Crusader | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cheek to Cheek | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bala Falls | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kid Forester | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seventh Wonder | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hungary | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vividari | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Des Bois | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Leopoldo | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hollow Point | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Surgical Strike | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Conquest Lemonraid | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Freitag | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fire for Effect | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | King and His Court | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tale of the Nile | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Hold’emforransom | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Special Forces | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Run Away | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Admiralty Pier | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Podgora | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | A Great Time | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Killag Katie | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 15 | 14 | Sweet Rhapsody | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beautiful Street | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marcherdowntheally | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Springdetti | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Close Image | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Sahara Breeze | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Secret Masquerade | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | I’ll Take the Cake | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sothatsthewayitis | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Ravinia | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Royal | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Phil’s Glory | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.