December 16, 2018 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Union Rebel |
1.20 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Malibu Magic |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bryan Habana (ARG) |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sharp Ruler |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Salutelute |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Levi’s Saint James |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Impeachment Ace |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Figure Eight |
0.80 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gum Tree Lane |
1.60 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Salah |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mo Reserve |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Green Fleet |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Bronzino (FR) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Conqueror |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Beantown Boys |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Sword Fighter |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lindante |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Spokane Eagle |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Will Tell |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Yes I’m Ready |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Love Your Life |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gone With It |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chrisiscookin |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Fans On the Run |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dutt Bart |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Seattle Encounter |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Theverythotofyou |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Wissam |
20.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Cute Knows Cute |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Allotment |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
We Will Re Joyce |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Atrevida |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sea Glass |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Asem |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ciao Luna |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Blueberry Princess |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hot On the Trail |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Awepollonia |
5.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sharp Image |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pablo’s Dream |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Goodtingscominpink |
5.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Spicy Curry |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
West Stowey Lass |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Tizbuds Princess |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lady in Green |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – King Glorious S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Poppy’s C Note |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Galilean |
0.80 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
6 |
Our Silver Oak |
2.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Tivan |
8.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Principe Carlo |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Feeling Strong |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Its Five Somewhere |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Baby Bear’s Soup |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Go Ghetto |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Louden’s Gray |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rocky’s Show |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tiz Love |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Croissant |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Buggy Brown |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Avanti Bello |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Secret Touch |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Out of Patience |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Twirling Tiger |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Face of Victory |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hot Perfection |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Plum Dandy |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Stylistics United |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Lucky Patrick |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Spend It |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Jersey’s Heat |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Odyssey Explorer |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Typhoon Harry |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Spirit Mission |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Giddymeister |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gryffindor |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Demonslayer |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lucky Pegasus |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Getin Gready |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Many Treats |
30.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.