December 16, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | We Hap Now | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Nevisian Sunset | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Star Seed Child | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bash | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toma | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brushing | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sour Ball | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Secret Zar | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tightly Twisted | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Awesome | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Discreet Sister | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Floss Dancer | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Cat Gee | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Exchange | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fix Me a Sandwich | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Top Hat Tune | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ice Docket | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oy to the World | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Chesapeakecity | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Admiral’s Row | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shadow Boxer | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fast Will | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lovely Games | 0.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Totalitario | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gio Lemon | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Pockets | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Escrow Finnidilly | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Son of Tyranny | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hot On Time | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Satchmo’s Crossing | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Likeagirl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bad Nana | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Nosy | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Doinwhatshelikes | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spicy Girl Red | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Include Gold | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sally O’Prado | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stellar Trick | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shifra Magician | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Honest Ginger | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chapel Gap | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Reggie’s Buddy | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A True Gentleman | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lord of Misrule | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sound Off | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ticker Tape Parade | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Port Louis | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | In Him With Him | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr J | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Calculated Thinkin | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Glengar | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tambora | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Top Czar | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Godlovesasinner | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moneymeister | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Where You Was | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Great Country | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Swingstage | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Saratoga Wildcat | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stone Bandit | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Draxhall Woods | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sing Praises | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Papacho | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Two Putt | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Not a Chance | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Arkadag | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stevie’s Joy | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seventyseven Force | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kamehameha | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Linda’s Nekia | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Col. North | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kaz Country | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Geronimo’s Spirit | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.