December 15, 2018 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Saddle Club | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Kristie’s Heart | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Diamond Proof | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | C. R. Golden Queen | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Molly Got Even | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Millie Joel | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Chapis | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spectacular Storm | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Lassie | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stella Sweeper | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brite Rivers | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coco Loco Mama | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lala Fleur | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cash for Cass | 1.40 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cat Holic | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dairy Kid | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Depende de Ti | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Win Win | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Derby Royalty | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reds Sacred Appeal | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Great Salvation | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Soviet Problem S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Creative Instinct | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kookie Gal | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hotitude | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gotta Be Lucky | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | All Tea All Shade | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Time for Suzzie | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Top Notch | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sunrise Royale | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Shylock Eddie | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Chasin Lucas | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Great Ma Neri | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Promnesia | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Carrie’s Success | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Empress of Lov | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | South Boot Shirley | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Don’t Pass | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chatterman | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | I’ll Wrap It Up | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | St. Reno | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Master Ruler | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kristo | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dead Easy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ultra Fame | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Awesome Leap | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gutsy Streak | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mistressofthenight | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kennedie Sky | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Briartic Gal | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Majestic Diva | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lovely Linda | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blooming Hannah | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honor Maker | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Annitasheaven | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Ride to the Wire | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Earnednevergiven | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fast Cotton | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warrior’s Lullaby | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | It Makes Sense | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Buck Duane | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Can Do This | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cayate | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Isee It in Hiseyes | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Turn Your Eyes | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Red Potatoes | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Shake N Fries | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thin Line | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Macwinnon | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bull Fighter | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mo Dinero | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mad At Money | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forestation | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Melchior | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drinks All Around | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hard to Come Home | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ultra Lucky | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.