December 15, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Benina | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Got the Gist | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dynamite Kitten | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Promise Me Roses | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Union Patriot | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Youmakemeblush | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Crater Rim | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Big Expense | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Needs No Ice | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Causin’ Trouble | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Frosty Linz | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | No Distortion | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Indian Guide | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Its All Relevant | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daddy D T | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oneballnostrikes | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Borsa Vento | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zabaione | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eden Ridge | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – New York Stallion Series S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sassy Agnes | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forgotten Hero | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cartwheelin Lulu | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Party Like Grandma | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s So Shea D | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | L. A. Page | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Mend Up | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bret’s Legacy | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oh K Funnybone | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Marble Moon | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rouxhere | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Taptaptap | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Giant Sandy | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Everything Pazible | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Inflection | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Peanut | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Craigville Beach | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Letzgometz | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Knight Frost | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Anne Dupree | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lemon Crush | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Votre Coeur | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | New Year’s Wish | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trouble for Skylar | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Parlapiano | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forever Daisy | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tayler’s the Boss | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jake Rocks | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mine the Coin | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Haikal | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Mandate | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pickle Rick | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Loverboy Lou | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Punchline | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ari’s Naughty Luca | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Munny Thief | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Spun to Run | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gypsum Johnny | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Benevolence | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Candid Desire | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Morning Breez | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Syndergaard | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arthur’s Hope | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sicilia Mike | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freud’s Affair | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Macho | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Speightful Kitten | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heavy Meddle | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bon Raison | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dream Friend | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Have Another | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Cerretalto | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Royal Asset | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Honor Up | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Allured | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Aveenu Malcainu | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Under a Spell | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Barahin | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Go Get the Munny | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Halloween Horror | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Rockford | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Avast Matey | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz a Chance | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | T Loves a Fight | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Real Creel | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | King Kranz | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Readyheartandsoul | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Dancetrack | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Samadi Sky | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | For Pops | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.