December 14, 2018 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cioppino Pasadino | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sharp Holiday | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bobbie Lincoln | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiger Mom | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forthenineteen | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miz Tianjin | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Devil’s Beauty | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lead Actress | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Discrete Stevie B | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thanks | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Acadia Fleet | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just Splendid | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | So Gucci | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Palm d’Oro | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Confidentially | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Arctic Roll (GB) | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Waze Ready | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sensible Thoughts | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boldest Vow | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smile Awhile | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Journal Entry | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sandona Girl | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Distinctive B | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Richard’s Boy | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | St. Joe Bay | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Allaboutaction | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hardcore Troubador | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Summersimage | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Calf Moon Bay | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hurley | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Show Hostess | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fabulous Star | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Suprema | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Samandah | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bev’s Humor | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Warrensdirtydancer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | R B Eye | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Suite Alonso | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Silent Alarm | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nations Hope | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Irish Polo | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Red Clem | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spectator’s Dream | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Bro | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jonathantoquick | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Sunset | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Coalinga Hills | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Baby Ice | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Li’l Grazen | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lady Krishna | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Alpenhorn | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bragging Rights | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Magicalchic | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Just Be Held | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Warm It Up | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Gig’s Lil’ Gal | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Slew the Waters | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Crackling Bread | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gia Lula | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | She’s No Fool | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lanacakes | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Whata Flirt | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lucky Hand | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Omerta | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Spacerika | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | La Artist | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.