December 8, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Saratoga Sass | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Zecha | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Promise Me Roses | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grand Banks | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ramblin’ Ma’am | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fiveinthemorning | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Missbigtimes | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frederica | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reyana Reya Dreams | 50.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Princess Alana | 50.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Special Dividend | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sing for Beauty | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | My Won Love | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Lady Bergen | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Archumybaby | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wilburnmoney | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Moondance Joy | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Same Kinda Crazy | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Princess Pinky | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnitesalright | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fight On Lucy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shelley Ann | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flush | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Evan’s Nice Now | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bee’snbee’s | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sander’s Empire | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cheatham Hill | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Semaya | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bettor Bank On It | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Scotty Brown | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Not That Brady | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pier Forty | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Alphastest | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bobby Man | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Overland | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tordito’s Bank | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Make Motime | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | No More Miracles | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tazmonian Devil | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Garland Of Roses S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dream Pauline | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Vertical Oak | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sower | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Yorkiepoo Princess | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tigalalu | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bavaro | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Bourbon | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Belt | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | H Man | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bluegrass Flash | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mighty Zealous | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ultimateenticement | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Samadi Sky | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sol the Freud | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Glossy | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hoponthebusgus | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Mystique | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Keota | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Transaction Tax | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Enthusiastic Gal | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Offer | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cleo | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blissful Breeze | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pauseforthecause | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bluegrass Jamboree | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Circle of Love | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Birthday | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Byself | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Navajo | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ipanema Beach | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aunt Babe | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Tricks | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Storm Alfeet | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15A | 15 | Theresa’s Boy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Shuffling Madness | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Freudian Analyst | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2A | 1 | Cross Multiply | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Devilry | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Unsullied | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Causforcelebration | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | No Worries Mate | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Eddie Boy | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Valmont | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Ninja Boys | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Flat Out Jayvien | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Santanoni | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Blessed Honour | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.