Sports from the Basement

Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 7, 2018

December 7, 2018 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cal Pack Queen 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Here’slookinatya 1.20 2 4-1
5 4 Mi Pajarito 1.60 2.8 5-1
2 2 Tell My Fortune 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Derby Treasure 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Novafactum 20.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Treasure Hunter 6.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Kochees 2.00 2.1 4-1
5 4 Boy Howdy 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Heartfullofstars 5.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 El Asesino 3.00 4 7-1
3 2 Monydontspenitself 8.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Indavidualist 12.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Love My Bud 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 1 Doc Curlin 2.50 2.7 5-1
6 5 Kristo 3.50 3.1 6-1
3 2 Ultra Fame 3.50 4.2 8-1
5 4 Air Pocket 20.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 Royal Seeker 8.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Just Kidding 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Impression 2.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Ky. Colonel 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Clear the Mine 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Arch Prince 4.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Muchos Besos 12.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Miss Fia 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Goodtingscominpink 6.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Tiz a Master 2.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Reachreachreach 2.50 3.3 6-1
7 6 Awepollonia 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Hinini 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Warrensrollingdice 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Tizbuds Princess 20.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 Loonar Secrets 20.00 7 13-1
3 3 Six Eighteen 20.00 7.2 14-1
11 10 Miss Dialed 20.00 7.8 15-1
9 8 Suezaaana 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mind for Mischief 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Data Storm Kitty 1.40 1.8 3-1
2 2 Enthralled 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Emrata 1.60 3.5 7-1
1 1 Meso 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Kirsch Truffle 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Havasu Hunni 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Heart of the Nile 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Just Grazed Me 1.60 2.2 4-1
2 2 Time for Ebby 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Family Girl 3.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Sly Humor 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 D D’s Lute 10.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 Silken Spy 4.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Todos Santos 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Princess Lili B 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Ride Out the Storm 15.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Blueberry Princess 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Imminent 2.50 3 6-1
4 3 Jellybeankristine 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Naomi Fraley 5.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Gracie Belle 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Peg’s Princess 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 4 Nearly Sunrise 20.00 6.8 13-1
12 10 Your Royal Coil 10.00 7.3 14-1
10 9 Miss Boisterous 12.00 7.9 15-1
9 8 Dairy Kid 20.00 8.2 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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