December 7, 2018 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cal Pack Queen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Here’slookinatya | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mi Pajarito | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tell My Fortune | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Derby Treasure | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Novafactum | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Treasure Hunter | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Kochees | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Boy Howdy | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heartfullofstars | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | El Asesino | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Monydontspenitself | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Indavidualist | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Love My Bud | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Doc Curlin | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kristo | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ultra Fame | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Air Pocket | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Royal Seeker | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Just Kidding | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Impression | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ky. Colonel | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clear the Mine | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arch Prince | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Muchos Besos | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Miss Fia | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Goodtingscominpink | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Tiz a Master | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Reachreachreach | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Awepollonia | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hinini | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warrensrollingdice | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tizbuds Princess | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Loonar Secrets | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Six Eighteen | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Miss Dialed | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Suezaaana | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mind for Mischief | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Data Storm Kitty | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Enthralled | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Emrata | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Meso | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kirsch Truffle | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Havasu Hunni | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Heart of the Nile | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Just Grazed Me | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Time for Ebby | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Family Girl | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sly Humor | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | D D’s Lute | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Silken Spy | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Todos Santos | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Princess Lili B | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ride Out the Storm | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Blueberry Princess | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Imminent | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jellybeankristine | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Naomi Fraley | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gracie Belle | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Peg’s Princess | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Nearly Sunrise | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Your Royal Coil | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Miss Boisterous | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dairy Kid | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.