December 7, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Kelly Tough | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Just the Facts | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tide of the Desert | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Tigerbeach | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nauti Buoy | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Dow | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kikinboy | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Diamond Mint | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mosca | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Warm Springs | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | On Cruise Control | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Copper Vessel | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zitman | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Southern Cal | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Indy Rules | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Nairobi | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bronzed | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Larceny | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bank Note | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Florida Two Step | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heated Element | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Direct Approach | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quizzical Cajun | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Diana’s Comprise | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | There Goes Bella | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sara’s Day | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Schmiss | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cuckoo Kenia | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Luz Estrella | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Channel Surfing | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flying Girl | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Song of Melody | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Devuelta | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Didnotmeanit | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chovanes | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Meilleur | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Hot Randy | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Point Exactly | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Motown Man | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Boy Bruno | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love Tree | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Express Jet | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Toupha | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King Orb | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gettinintomischief | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trouble Coffee | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | More Mo | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | C Major | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Heza Kitten | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nightstrings | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Belgrano | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vettel | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mac Jagger | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Articulator | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Be Gone Daddy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ercolano | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aequor | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | All Golden | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baba Tobi | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Time to Travel | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Can You See Me | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Iana | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Cat’s Astray | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Megalin Candy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cloudy Day | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Shea D | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Fix | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Nicole | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bird of Peace | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sold On Salsa | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Precocious Peach | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Act | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cetara | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Paola | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Private Drama | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Blue Whale | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shagaf | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Breaking Lucky | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Third Day | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Belle Tapisserie | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Atila | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mucho Prospect | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Imperative | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Crescent | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hy Kodiak Warrior | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Biblical | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Eye of a Jedi | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tapping Colors | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Money Factor | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Direction Song | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Goodthingstaketime (IRE) | 1.80 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heading Home | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Steamy Windows | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Riverside Walk (GB) | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baroness Vontrappe | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Jimi Bags | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Muchacha Uno | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Motherwell | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Art G Is Back | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Seismic Jolt | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Followhisfootsteps | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Beau Trace | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | He’s Smokin Hot | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Loudon’s Song | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Winning Drive | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Kong Style | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Beach Resort | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Frank Alone | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fortunickle | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lucky Runs North | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Wink and a Nod | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.