December 7, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bank On Andy (FR) | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Giant | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rollin Smoke | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Million | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunrise Hawk | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Simba’s Pride | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 11 | Carolina Jasmine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 6 | Lu Sea | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Giagiajoe | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tough Kicks | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | D J Soul Sista | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mizzen Air | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Previous Honor | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Starry Ide Elaine | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Desert Image | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Aint Annie Grand | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Coco Honey | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Clever Prince | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | He’s No Bully | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No More for U | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Yakadaddy | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Senator Con | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brush With Caution | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tough Charlie | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Princesschope (FR) | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runninwiththewind | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Goddess of Kip | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Divine Quality | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Tell Marge | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Third Eye | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Punto de Entrada | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seeds of Time | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Brown’s Monkey | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Release the Beast | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jackpot Johnny | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Whistling Wind | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Blinkey | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Izzy B Winn | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Card Shark | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Candy Carlos | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Cookies Are Good | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Baires Boy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Trouble in Phoenix | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | California Swing | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gustnado | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tachi | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Stride | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thunderberg | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brerry | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cortege | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Red Corvette | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | He’s Dann Good | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Briar Jumper | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Moon Over Cuzco | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Large Scale | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Oro de Tejano | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | He’s a Climber | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dad Said No | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Colombard | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Varykino | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Woman With a Book | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hicks Is Lit | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Buddy Rocket | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Freudian Finish | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Pordavino | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Inthemidstofbiz | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lovely Flash | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Caliente Candy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gun Club | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lake Local | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Khairiya | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Street Dazzle | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Winandyourin Gin | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lorette | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ginny B | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Awesome One | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Song and a Kiss | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Precious Arch | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Flashy Brew | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charge the Line | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alex’s Turn | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oneholylion | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scarlettsblackjack | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Myblendofwhisky | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | C’Mon Ve | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Discreetly D | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dancehall Jack | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Magic City Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Branchwater | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Buggin Out | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Out Late | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Menewa | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Babalight | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gotta A. P. B. | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Indy’s Code | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Noisy Ripples | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Two Mikes N Doc G | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.