December 6, 2018 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Resky Business 2.50 SCRATCH
7 6 Irish and Lucky 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 5 Sharp Holiday 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 2 She’sluckythatway 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 1 Diamond Proof 4.00 4.1 8-1
4 3 Blooming Hannah 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 Millie Joel 12.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Miss Unusual 2.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Z Z Tiger 2.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Jeweled 5.00 3 6-1
8 8 Desired Edge 3.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Lucky Val 8.00 5 10-1
1 1 Blissful Lady 12.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Sea Glass 20.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Mongolian Rahy 15.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Typhoon Harry 4.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Jersey’s Heat 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Spirit Mission 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Latitude 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Odyssey Explorer 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Ronton 3.50 4.1 8-1
7 6 Lucky Pegasus 20.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 Many Treats 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jumpin Thru Hoops 4.00 SCRATCH
2 1 All Good 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 5 Norski 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Value Play 3.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Mo Mississippi 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 2 Palaleo 20.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Drink 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Loud Mouth 6.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Tiger Dad 2.50 2.3 4-1
9 8 Its Five Somewhere 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 3 Indi Luck 3.50 3.4 6-1
8 7 Calder Vale 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 1 Sure Proof 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 No Parking Here 12.00 6.6 12-1
7 6 Bounty Hunter 12.00 7.1 13-1
10 9 Bean Street 20.00 7.1 14-1
3 2 L. A. Big Time 20.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 St. Reno 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 New Karma 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Uptown Street 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Baby Bear’s Soup 2.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Ketos 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Red Wine and Dine 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Aberdeen Island 12.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Croissant 15.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Pick One 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Papa G 20.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Crazy Uncle Rick 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Cold Brew Kid 30.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Microrithms 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 4 Adens Dream 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Montmartre 3.50 3.9 7-1
9 7 Paddock Pick 4.00 4.3 8-1
10 8 Sir Samson 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 I Am the Danger 6.00 5.6 11-1
8 6 Storminside 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Market Sentiment 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Stay in Yo Lane 2.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Samurai Jack 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Ultra Lucky 3.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Red Potatoes 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Empirical Data 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Nutty Sierra 20.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Do Something Easy 10.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 New Salute 20.00 7 13-1
8 8 Street Punk 20.00 7.1 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.