December 6, 2018 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Resky Business | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Irish and Lucky | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sharp Holiday | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | She’sluckythatway | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Diamond Proof | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Blooming Hannah | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Millie Joel | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Unusual | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Z Z Tiger | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jeweled | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Desired Edge | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Val | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blissful Lady | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sea Glass | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mongolian Rahy | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Typhoon Harry | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Jersey’s Heat | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spirit Mission | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Latitude | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Odyssey Explorer | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ronton | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lucky Pegasus | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Many Treats | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jumpin Thru Hoops | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | All Good | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Norski | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Value Play | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mo Mississippi | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Palaleo | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Drink | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Loud Mouth | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Tiger Dad | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Its Five Somewhere | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Indi Luck | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Calder Vale | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sure Proof | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | No Parking Here | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bounty Hunter | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bean Street | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | L. A. Big Time | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | St. Reno | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | New Karma | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Uptown Street | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Baby Bear’s Soup | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ketos | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Wine and Dine | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aberdeen Island | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Croissant | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pick One | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Papa G | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Crazy Uncle Rick | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Cold Brew Kid | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Microrithms | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Adens Dream | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Montmartre | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Paddock Pick | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Sir Samson | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | I Am the Danger | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Storminside | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Market Sentiment | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Stay in Yo Lane | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Samurai Jack | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ultra Lucky | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Potatoes | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Empirical Data | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nutty Sierra | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Do Something Easy | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | New Salute | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Street Punk | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.