December 6, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Room to Finish | 0.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joey G | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Run By | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bing’s d’Oro | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elizabeth’s Music | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kraft’s Rate | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speak Briley | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’s Our Star | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady’s Tribute | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Latrobe’s King | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wristlet | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Macfadden | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lethal Move | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moneyinmypocket | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Borodino | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hitthegroundrunnin | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Champagne Diva | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fetching Fury | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dhafeera (GB) | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jing | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unexpected Visit | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Looks Super | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sarabi | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brenda’s Fever | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Curlin | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rapid Lady | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Pepper Ann | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 3 | Lookout Mountain | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Sweet Pea Mama Ve | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 2 | Cinnamon Diva | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Lucky Band | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 6 | My Bonne Margie | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Miss Mariposa | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Timebobanna | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Star Too | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Junket | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stand and Cheer | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Because It’s Time | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Marais | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Garrison K | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pops Legacy | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sparkys Surprise | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Goddess of Kip | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Pour Girl | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sage’s Epiphany | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Havinfunyet | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vow Me Over | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Behold the Queen | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Temple | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kentucky Brown | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Go Go Goose | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Too Bad Chu | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Little Snip | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Forgotten | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Day Dreamer | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mardi Gras Mask | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Parade Blue | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | True Wisdom | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Boots | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fortythreeoeight N | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spicy Shot | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seven Nation Army | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Aquadini | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Please Sit Down | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Handsome Honey | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Vogt | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Jabbar | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charcoal | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Philosophy | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Carrier Landing | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond Prospector | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Might | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eat the Ticket | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lookin High | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Three Twins | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Our Lady’s Prayer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Liz’s Legend | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Charlotte’s Wish | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Strikingly Smart | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Wind Zee | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Casey’s Doll | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Unbridled Honey | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kiss Endra | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Honest Bandit | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Dori’s Birdies | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.