December 6, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mangelsen 2.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Drewtempo 3.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Biermann 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Speedactus 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Clever Lad 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Eldon’s Jet 6.00 5 9-1
7 7 Snoop Three Socks 8.00 6 11-1
8 8 Ohmymy Ohmyyes 12.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Some of Merit 30.00 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Indulgences 2.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Sobriquiet 1.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 E Porto 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Flashy Image 20.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Cossinade Prince 20.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Genuide 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Highroller Man 12.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Dorcheat Zarb 12.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Oath of Office 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Smok’n Rita 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Seattle Brew 1.20 3.5 7-1
7 7 My Madelyns On 3.00 4 8-1
2 2 Miss Billie K 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Half Time Allie 12.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Her Great Grandpa 5.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 American Mom 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Lucky Cal 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Dixie Beat 4.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 I Rate First 3.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 Masster Chief Ron 2.50 4.2 8-1
9 9 Gray Ransom 4.50 5.3 10-1
2 2 Five Small 30.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Buxton Boy 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Bear’s Big Boy 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Rooster Bullet 20.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Crush 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dev Mo 1.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Four Princesses 4.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Cadillac Magic 3.50 4.6 9-1
8 8 Tedders Angel 6.00 5 9-1
6 6 Racin Prayer 8.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Drena’s Best 10.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Scarlet’s Causeway 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Honest Road 30.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Binding Magic 15.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Jacob Rocks 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Whistling Ranger 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Two Steppin’ Star 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Nastida Mast 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Salutetheprince 3.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Uncle Bird 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Judge Dixon 4.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Rockin Rusty Rue 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 Toast to Don 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Tooth 15.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Burning Runner 30.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Man of Bethel 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Just You Wait 1.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Yours and Mine 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Princess Gianna 4.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Tax Money 3.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Shiloh County 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Fantasy Frills 30.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Daddy Boat 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Palmettovowmenot 20.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Gentlemen’s Girl 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bolitar 15.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Irritator 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Wild Bert 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Zendelphian 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Oso Ready 8.00 3.6 7-1
9 7 Medal of Courage 2.50 4.3 8-1
5 4 Proper Decorum 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Brutus Hughes 12.00 5.7 11-1
10 8 Fiddlers Farewell 10.00 6 11-1
8 6 Galaxy Builder 12.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Let’s Go Boss 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Pierpont 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Bayou Bode 2.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Brylee’s Deelite 3.50 3.4 7-1
6 6 Noah Knows 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 D’digger 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Huffs Taz a Boo 12.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Aunya Ruling 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 A. P.’s Prince 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 War Dude 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Graceful Rules 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Rahfees Man 2.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Jazzy Punch 15.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Sizzlin Flyer 3.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 Jr’s Sauvage 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Beau’s Logic 30.00 6 11-1
9 9 Look Happy 5.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 They’ll Seeintime 15.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Goodeagle 30.00 6.9 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.