December 6, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mangelsen | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Drewtempo | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Biermann | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speedactus | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clever Lad | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eldon’s Jet | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Snoop Three Socks | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ohmymy Ohmyyes | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Some of Merit | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Indulgences | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sobriquiet | 1.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | E Porto | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flashy Image | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cossinade Prince | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Genuide | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Highroller Man | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dorcheat Zarb | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oath of Office | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smok’n Rita | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seattle Brew | 1.20 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Madelyns On | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Billie K | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Half Time Allie | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Her Great Grandpa | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Mom | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Lucky Cal | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Beat | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Rate First | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Masster Chief Ron | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gray Ransom | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Five Small | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Buxton Boy | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bear’s Big Boy | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rooster Bullet | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crush | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dev Mo | 1.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Four Princesses | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cadillac Magic | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tedders Angel | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Racin Prayer | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Drena’s Best | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scarlet’s Causeway | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honest Road | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Binding Magic | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Jacob Rocks | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Whistling Ranger | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Two Steppin’ Star | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nastida Mast | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Salutetheprince | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Bird | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Judge Dixon | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rockin Rusty Rue | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Toast to Don | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tooth | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Burning Runner | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Man of Bethel | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Just You Wait | 1.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yours and Mine | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Gianna | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tax Money | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shiloh County | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fantasy Frills | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Daddy Boat | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Palmettovowmenot | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gentlemen’s Girl | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bolitar | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Irritator | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wild Bert | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zendelphian | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oso Ready | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Medal of Courage | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Proper Decorum | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Brutus Hughes | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Fiddlers Farewell | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Galaxy Builder | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Let’s Go Boss | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pierpont | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bayou Bode | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brylee’s Deelite | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Noah Knows | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | D’digger | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Huffs Taz a Boo | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Aunya Ruling | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | A. P.’s Prince | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | War Dude | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Graceful Rules | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rahfees Man | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jazzy Punch | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sizzlin Flyer | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jr’s Sauvage | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beau’s Logic | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Look Happy | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | They’ll Seeintime | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Goodeagle | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.